Good Saturday, everyone. As we continue to climb out of this crazy cold pattern we’ve been in over the past few weeks, it’s time to focus on where we go from here. A much milder pattern final takes over in the coming days, but comes along with an active weather pattern. This is likely the sign of a very stormy spring in the making.

Let’s start with today and some chillier winds blowing in from the northwest. This is nothing like last week, but we will still need the jackets. Watch for isolated showers in the north and east.

Sunday looks fantastic with sunshine and normal temps across the entire region. Things will then turn even milder on Monday with 60s and the potential for some low 70s. Winds will become gusty as a weak front settles in from the north. That should create some scattered showers and thunderstorms…

After a seasonal brand of chill for the middle of the week, the setup across the country then starts to skew warmer than normal. Check out the warm shots showing up on the GFS Ensembles through the rest of March…

With the warmer air will come several storm systems rolling across the country. Each of these can create thunderstorms from the plains into our region. The first arrives in about a week from now…

Another one should follow closely behind a few days later…

The above setup matches up VERY well with my overall thinking for the spring, and matches up with the CFS seasonal model. The CFS rainfall map through April shows my severe weather concern…

That’s the look one would expect in this stormy setup. With the Gulf of Mexico water temps being crazy warm, that should aid in the severe weather threat for our region and into the south.

Temps from the same CFS run through April look warmer than normal…

A warm and very stormy spring is likely waiting in the wings.

Enjoy your day and take care.