Good Monday, folks. Our March pattern has been pretty energetic, so far, and I see no reason to think that won’t continue. As a matter of fact, the action is likely to increase over the final weeks of the month, and continue right on into April and May.

As always, we start with today and roll forward.

Highs will hit the 60s with mostly cloudy skies and southwesterly winds increasing. A cold front slowly drops our way from the north and should touch off a scattered shower or thunderstorm…

This front moves in here on Tuesday with a much better chance for showers and storms…

I wouldn’t be surprised if we get some strong storms out of this. Small hail and gusty winds will be possible as that action drops in.

There is a shot of cold coming in behind this, but the majority of it stays to our north. Still, it may be just cold enough for a few flakes to fly in the east Wednesday morning…

That action scoots away with a quick recovery in temps by Thursday and Friday. The 60s should return by then as a strong southwesterly flow kicks in ahead of our next system. This arrives over the weekend with fairly widespread showers and thunderstorms…

That’s a slow mover, but has mild temps with it. We will have to be mindful of the threat for some strong storms and heavy rainfall.

Both of those threats are likely a sign of things to come. I’ve mad no bones about my thoughts of a stormy and mild spring.

The GFS Ensembles 2 week rainfall map continues to target the Mississippi Valley into our region…

The long range ensembles from the European Model place a bullseye over the same areas through the end of April…

Have a wonderful Monday and take care.