Good Tuesday, everyone. Here’s hoping this update finds you guys doing well in life. The weather of late has been a little ugly, and there is some more ugly to go through in the coming days. That said, things in the temperature department are looking much, much better! 🙂
Scattered showers and storms will roll across the start from northwest to southeast today. This is along and north of a warm front draped across Kentucky. The best chance for these storms is across the central and east, where some heavy rain totals may show up. We will need to watch that to see if we get repeat storms moving over the same areas.
Outside of the storms, temps can hit the low 80s south of the warm front.
Track away…
Scattered showers and storms will continue over the next few days, and a few of them can be on the strong side. Temps will range from the low 70s in the north to the low 80s in the south and west.
Low pressure then moves through here on Friday with more of a general rain. The rain numbers through Friday have some pretty good totals…
Winds look gusty on Friday with cooler temps…
As of now, the trend is toward a warmer weekend. That’s especially good news for all the moms out there as temps may return to the 70s.
The pattern is showing signs of trying to turn warm again next week…
Here’s hoping this works out, because the recent cool weather is awful. I hate cool shots in the spring and warm shots in the winter. 😉
Have a great day and take care.
Thanks Chris, looks like we are returning to a more normal May weather pattern. Have a great day.
Thelma Lou says this pattern is about to break warm…like a bird bursting out of it cage!
Thanks, CB. As we know, severe wx has thankfully been largely absent the last few weeks.
But on this day in 1988 was an F3 tornado (would be EF3 today) in Bell County that went through downtown Middlesboro. One of the very few times a stronger twister has visited eastern Kentucky (March 2 2012 outbreak is of course another notable example).
The longer a potential tornadic thunderstorm travels over mountainous terrain, the greater the challenges for tornado genesis. Even if conditions are ideal in the upper atmosphere, rugged topography tends to among other things lower dew points just above the ground; a high dew point temperature is one (of many) key ingredients needed for tornadoes. This may explain why tornadoes are relatively uncommon in the Appalachians.
But contrary to popular misconception, rough terrain has little effect on those tornadoes that do touch down. Granted, the Bell County funnel started within the relatively even topography of a nearly 300 million year old meteor crater where Middlesboro is located. But after leaving downtown in shambles, the tornado had little trouble traversing the ridge east of town.
Unlike the direct hit in 1988, Middlesboro had a narrow escape in March 1933 when an F4 in Tennessee just missed Jellico but devastated Pruden TN before crossing into Kentucky. But the tornado lifted before it could have reached Middlesboro. Again, this tornado traversed rugged terrain.
Guess we should enjoy the relative calm while it lasts….
From your lips to God’s ears, Chris. This cool, rainy weather is the pits…………!
Just a day ago the forecast had very heavy rain for today and tomorrow, so wild how even the rain anymore is moving target instead of just snow. Trippy.
Yes, this needs more attention. It’s starting to get unnerving how these forecasts are getting off the mark sometimes. I honestly don’t remember anything like it when outside the winter window of weather. It’s like someone went through and mecked up the model data or something.
And, next week’s forecast was for the cooler temps to continue (the model Chris displayed showed cool thru the 16th). Now, 24 hours later, a warm-up is in store for the same time period. Personally, I like cooler weather, my utility bills have been on the low side of low :).
The average bloke would just cry “BUST” or “HYPE”. I’ll just sit back, smoke a cigar, and be happy for no extremes.
Surprised though that CB has not brought this up. Concencous at work and idle chat is we can’t even trust rain and storm forecasts now, yet alone snow. I have been following CB since the shared blog days with TG. I do not recall the rain misses like this year at even a day out. Models so not seem to be extrapolating very well. CB rain forecasts used to be mainly be autopilot for happening.
JMO
What’s wrong wit’ dim Models this year? Besides my poor grammar and lack of comprehension?
TennMark, WOW, that is great information. I learned something.
Thanks Chris, and thanks TENNMARK. I hope the weekend forecast holds true and we have a bit of warm and drier weather. I am happy
to see that in the forecast compared to what we have been experiencing. I have to say I am not sad that we are missing a lot of the rain today too, so far. Learned a few facts about tornadoes I did not know too. Very interesting. Thank you for sharing. I always thought that if a tornado got down into the ‘holler’ between mountains it would really do some damage. But I thought that because it would kind of wedge between two hills.
In any event, I am thankful that we haven’t had a lot of severe weather this spring. Don’t mind some thunder and lightning, but hate the thoughts of tornadoes and heavy winds. Have a great Tuesday everyone.