Good Monday, folks. We are rolling into a tropical week of weather across the commonwealth of Kentucky. Steamy temps and periods of heavy rain producing thunderstorms highlight the weather menu. Beyond this week, the busy pattern continues with deep troughs digging into the country.
The storm threat does increase a bit today and any storm that goes up can put down some very heavy rains…
Thunderstorms will continue to increase in the coming days, as deep tropical moisture takes control of our atmosphere. This means the storms ahead will have even more moisture to work with, upping the ante for local high water issues.
Again, it’s not going to rain everyday where you live. When it does, its gonna be heavy. There is cloudburst potential with the storms over the next week.
A dip in the jet stream moves in here later this weekend and early next week. Will something tropical be developing in the Gulf during this time? That’s certainly possible.
The Canadian can always be counted on to blow up a big tropical system…
The GFS is trying to do something similar…
Beyond that, deep troughs really dig in across the eastern half of the country…
For the millionth time in the past few months… This is not a summer for any one pattern to lock in for the long haul. It’s just not. That gives us a balancing act with temps and a busier than normal summer storm and flash flood season.
Make it a great day and take care.
Chris –
I hope you’re right about no pattern locking in this summer. Last summer, that’s exactly what happened….Remember how we went days and weeks with virtually no weather – just sunny hot days.
Wouldn’t it be great if weather forecasting was advanced enough so that they could forecast who gets hit and who gets missed with rain/storms?
Thanks Chris, For me to really understand the current weather pattern, I must go back to this past winter and spring to try to make some sense of what’s happening presently with our weather. Everyone knows that the winter of 2017 was a no show for our area, and parts of the east. While, the west had record rains, heavy snows and colder than normal temperatures. California, lost it’s drought, with the mountains receiving two hundred percent of their normal snowfall. I, recall that a weak La nina was forecast to form last fall, which with a La nina, forecasters were concerned that the drought in California would worsen. Just the opposite. What is down the road for us can be anybody’s guest. The models that Chris presented this morning are more indicative of a winter pattern. For instance, that tropical low pressure coming out of the Gulf up into our area would produce a very heavy snow event for western and central Kentucky if it was in February. This is very interesting, and needs to be explored in more detail, which I don’t have the knowledge in meteorology to do so. Have a great Monday everyone.
Thank you Schroeder… very informative and useful…
No it does not need to be explored in more detail. Furthermore we don’t have tropical low pressures in February in the Gulf.
You really keep me on my toes. You made a reference to a severe storm for June 8 1982. I really like weather history, so I checked into it, especially since I was in Evansville just the other day. Here is an article from that day highlighting the damage…
http://44news.wevv.com/11766-2/
Also, the NCDC’s Storm Data publication contains information for that day, including a 76mph gust.
However, I could not locate a reference that compared the damage to a category 4 hurricane. If you are able to locate that, could you help me out?
As of June 11, a look at the Kentucky Mesonet sites (69 of them) reveals that 23 or 1 out of 3 sites have had their highest temperature for the year so far recorded in the month of April.
Rain ahower already in Barbourville
Thank you for your comment Ralph. Have a great day. Prelude, all weather should be explored in detail, that’s how we learn. On tropical depressions in the Gulf in the winter time, look up the blizzard 1888 and the blizzard of 1978. This is the one I was in, and I don’t want to go through that kind of storm again. It was called the White Hurricane. The severe thunderstorm on June 8th, 1982, that was referred as a category 4 hurricane damage, was not on any news. I think it was just hear say, because the damage left behind was so overwhelming. Guys, have a great day.
I believe weather should be explored however the weather we are having now is just not that all unusual pretty typical for June.
Blizzard of 1978 very well remember that and the harsh winters we had in the late 70’s . We haven’t experience that since, The mighty Ohio river was frozen and that hasn’t happen since then also.
Thanks Chris. After a beautiful weekend and a road trip, the weather is not what I was hoping for. While I don’t want nothing but hot, sunny days, more sunny days than rainy ones would make me happier this time of year. I love all the seasons, but it seems like ours have been kind of out of sync….So some hot but not monotonous (?) Anyway, it’s Monday, so there’s that. Have3 a good rest of your day everyone. Here is hoping those who need the rain get more and those who don’t get less. Either way, we will get shat we get and run with it! Have a great Monday all!
92 today for a high in Lexington. That’s only 3 degrees off the record high for June 12th.
Ironically, that was also the high one year ago today in Lexington.