A Tropical Connection This Week?

Good Monday, everyone. We continue to track a very active weather pattern across our part of the world. Heavy rains are starting the week across parts of the region, then we focus on a Gulf tropical system and a big blast of cool to follow.

The overall pattern across the country looks a lot like something out of September.

Storms on Sunday caused a lot of issues, with trees down in many areas of the bluegrass region. Heavy rains caused flash flooding for some, and additional heavy rain is on tap early today. The best chance for additional flash flood producing rains is across the southeastern part of the state.

Track away…

Skies will clear from northwest to southeast later today, with temps ranging from the middle 70s east to low 80s north and west.

Cooler air continues to sink in here for Tuesday, but I’m now seeing a small shower chance to go along with the nice temps.

Much warmer air fights in later in the week, ahead of a likely tropical system down in the Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center is watching that storm and another possible system in the Atlantic…

The Gulf system is likely to get a name today as it lifts toward the northwest…

Where does that storm go and will it impact our weather? That’s what we all want to know and my answer is… The storm likely heads toward Louisiana or Texas and has a decent chance to impact the weather here in Kentucky.

The GFS brings what’s left of the tropical system toward Kentucky by Friday and Saturday, with a DEEP tough coming in behind it…

The Canadian is a bit farther west, but also brings this system into Kentucky…

That’s one heck of a setup for June! The potential is there for our region to get rain from this system before all is said and done. The cool air engulfing much of the country next weekend into early the following weekend is something to behold. It could give us a nice run of highs only in the 70s.

Make it a great Monday and take care.

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8 Responses to A Tropical Connection This Week?

  1. Schroeder says:

    Thanks Chris, According to the SPC storm report of June 18, 2017 in the state of Kentucky, very high wind damage, meaning trees down and uprooted in Western Kentucky, and some high winds around Lexington. Most of the state escape the wide spread damage and heavy rainfall and flash flooding. I received about 1/2 inch of rain from a thundershower late yesterday. Why we didn’t receive more weather yesterday, could be that we had more dry air aloft. This would be my speculation. Have a great day everyone.

  2. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. We just can’t seem to get off the rain train for any length of time. Well if it’s Monday it may as well be dreary. I am glad we did not get all that was anticipated here. What we got was beneficial. Here’s to all the Dads out there. I hope your Fathers Dsy was good, and I wish everyone a pleasant Monday!

  3. winter lover says:

    Here in far part of western ky we dodge the heavy down pour and winds lucky got 1/4 of inch of rain. Thanks Chris for the information you give everyday. Have a good day!

  4. Andy Rose says:

    Finally able to muster some drizzle in my area

  5. MarkLex says:

    Had decent rains in northwest Lexington yesterday. I think my back yard escaped the most intense part of the storm, but I could tell some decent intensity was really close.

  6. Schroeder says:

    Just finish looking at the latest satellite on the tropical storm in the Gulf. Now, there is an 80% chance of further development. If issued a name, it will be Arlene. In my opinion, the storm will move to our east when it makes landfall, wherever that is. No one knows where that may be at this time. We are now being influence by what’s going on in the Gulf by the cool front that past through the area late last night.

  7. Mike S says:

    As usual, the American forecast models and European model were not in agreement on how to handle the developing tropical system. I’m leaning toward the Euro (again). So, even if it should track more westward, heaviest rain shield will still be to the east of the system. Louisiana and Mississippi still look like wet places in a few days.

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