A Cool Period Before More Storms

Good Sunday, folks. There is a certain “wow” factor to our weather today and over the next few days. Some very, VERY cool summertime air continues to blow into the bluegrass state. Is this a sign of a summer that’s starting to tilt cooler than normal? Maybe.

We know things are MUCH wetter than normal and I don’t see that changing. Often, wetter summers wind up cooler than normal too. I know it’s a quiet Sunday, but I have put together a blowout post… Just because. 🙂

Today’s forecast is for a 100% chance of awesome.

Monday will see temps in the upper 40s and low 50s for some to start the day with 70s for highs…

An 80 is possible in the west as winds gust up ahead of another old front. That front arrives Monday night with some showers diving in from the northwest…

That kinda looks like a wintertime clipper, don’t ya think?

Temps behind this are even cooler for Tuesday. Check out the highs…

Any night that features clear skies through Wednesday can give us lows trying to get into record territory. But remember… skies have to be clear for that to happen. Highs remain below normal through the end of the week, with near normal air fighting back in.

As that works in here, we have to watch for some storms to go up late Thursday into Friday. This will be ahead of another cold front dropping in here over the weekend…

Some of the models are trying to get a little more robust with the rainfall. Here’s the Canadian Model through next Sunday…

Temps go back to a little below normal as the front checks up just to our south. That may not be a a good look for our 4th of July week, because waves of showers and storms could develop on the front and roll east…

BTW… The post 4th of July setup suggests the Gulf of Mexico will need to be watched again.

Speaking of July, the seasonal model forecasts have a cooler than normal look around here and for much of the country. Here’s the CFS…

If we take the European and ask it to give us the temperature anomalies from today through the first week of August, here’s what it tells us…

There’s your blowout post on a quiet Sunday… I hope you appreciate the effort. 🙂

Make it a good one and take care.


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11 Responses to A Cool Period Before More Storms

  1. Anna sipes says:

    Do appreciate the effort – Thank you Chris

  2. Dena59 says:

    Thanks Chris!

  3. Chris Mercer says:

    Good post!

    Interesting note: The record lows for June 26 and 27 in Lexington were set in 2012–52 and 51 degrees. Just three days later a heat wave started and on June 30th, 2012, we set a record high of 103. The heat wave peaked on July 5th with a high of 105, the hottest temperature in Lexington since the 1930’s

    • TennMark says:

      There was also that remarkable derecho on June 29. While the derecho itself had devastating winds above 90 mph, the outflow caused damage (including in central KY) well away from the actual storms even if it also provided a temporary break from the heat.

  4. Dottie says:

    I appreciate the effort and the cool temps!

  5. John-Austin Jenkins says:

    Great post CB! Really enjoyed the long range stuff as always. You are the best!

  6. Thanks Chris, I’ll take the cooler than normal temps. Have a Blessed day!

  7. Schroeder says:

    Thanks Chris, You do a great job on all your post and I will always appreciate your effort and hard work. On the weather discussion this morning, about cooler and wetter conditions continuing maybe through the summer, brings me back to the cool summers that really stand out, the first was 1964, ( the year Mt. Shiveluch erupted ), the second cool summer was 1968, ( Fernandina Island volcano erupted ), and the third was 1991, ( Mt. Pinatubo erupted ). Do these eruptions contribute to the cooler than normal summers ? Many meteorologist agree that volcanic eruption will cool the globe, with all the ash in the atmosphere blocking out and refracting solar energy. Then how would they explain, 1980 when Mt. Saint Helen’s erupted in May of that year. The year 1980 was a very hot summer for the US. With our current, cooler than normal summer in my opinion, is due to lower than normal sun spot activity, along with North Atlantic Oscillation fluctuating from positive to negative. When the NAO is in the positive we have our warm, humid summer, because the westerlies are strongest in central Canada, thus keeping the cooler weather from moving south into the US. The negative phase of the NAO, slows down the westerlies and allowing the cool to build up and move south into the US. This is a very complicated theory which is hard to explain, but I did my best.

  8. Mike S says:

    CB, you’ve earned enough credits to take the rest of the year off, but don’t you dare

  9. which way is the wind blowing says:

    Cool!!!!!

  10. LD says:

    remember all of the other model predictions calling for a month that was below normal? Soooo when was the last time one of those panned out compared to how many times it didn’t? Exactly. If the model calls for above normal, you can consider that the best bet you’ll see.

    Oh, and Hamlin, just because you were getting “hammered” by mother nature doesn’t mean you weren’t simultaneously getting “hammered” the usual way. 😉
    Keep some to the side, you’ll need it if you’ll be watching the new season of Game of Thrones this summer.

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