Watching The Northwestern Sky This Week

Good Monday, folks. It’s a brand new work week, but not a whole lot is new in the weather world. A few clusters of showers and storms will dive into the region from the northwest. Between these boomers, typical July steam will fill the air.

I’ve also got a look into some of the longer range models… All the way into winter. 🙂

Let’s start with today and roll ahead. Highs out there on this Monday will be deep into the 80s for many, but some low 90s show up in the west. Watch the northwestern sky for a storm or two moving in, with the best chance across the central and east.

A few of the storms in the far north may be strong. Here are the tracking toys for the day…

Highs over the next few days climb into the upper 80s and may hit 90 on a day with full sun. The west will be the warmest with some low 90s showing up. Still, a few storms will try to press into the region from the northwest.

A greater shot for strong storms and heavy rain will move in for Thursday and Friday. That’s ahead of a potent cold front that will also drop our temps.

By this time, we are past the midway point of meteorological summer and rolling downhill toward fall. The latest CFS seasonal model for the 10 day period to end July into the start of August looks like this…

That has a cooler than normal look for much of the country and the model shows it continuing into the second half of August…

Let me say, I think those are too cool. I actually expect a few surges of typical summer temps to help balance things out at times.

For a little summertime fun, let’s expand that WeatherBELL model run all the way out into fall…

If we are out through fall, we might as well see what it says for the winter ahead…

Don’t get too carried away with seasonal models from this far out, but the CFS did a pretty good job with our current wet and slightly cooler than normal summer.

Enjoy your Monday and take care.

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7 Responses to Watching The Northwestern Sky This Week

  1. Jeff Hamlin says:

    Too early to talk winter.

  2. which way is the wind blowing says:

    The CFS is so cool!!

  3. Dottie says:

    What does the green indicate on the winter CFS map?

  4. Schroeder says:

    Thanks Chris, Another fun summer weather myth is the ” dog days of summer”, which started July 3rd and will end August 11th. This is when the dog star Sirius rises with our star the sun, and is said to make the sun produce more heat. I looked up some Autumn and Winter models yesterday for 2017-18, and all agree on a colder than normal pattern setting up. But, it is base on the development of ENSO El nino and the North Atlantic Oscillation going in and out positive and negative phases. They also gave the areas that will have above normal snowfall. This depends on where the active Polar jet comes in contact with Subtropical jet. If they collide, over the southern Rocky Mountains, then Kentucky will see a very long snowy winter, but if the two jets collide over the mid- Atlantic, this will bring only snow flurries to Kentucky along with cold,dry Arctic air. Have a great day everyone.

  5. TennMark says:

    Thanks, CB. Perhaps the CFS’s cold Dec temps over Arkansas may remind the folks of Little Rock of the foot of snow they got Christmas Day 2012! 😉

    – – – – – – – – – –

    Here’s an interesting look at a “landspout” that touched down in Michigan over a week ago.
    According to NWS Grand Rapids (who did the ground survey), those “ribbons” going up the funnel were plastic mulch covers in a field. Almost artistic looking. Thankfully, no injuries.

    BTW, a landspout’s equal is a waterspout (sometimes more specifically called a “fair-weather waterspout”) while a “tornadic waterspout” is like a regular land based tornado. Landspouts and “fair-weather waterspouts” tend to be relatively weak and short lived.

  6. Mike S says:

    I am so looking forward to picking my first green tomatoes this week. I planted mine a little late this year. I discovered that a fried green tomato dipped in a horseradish mixture placed as a topping on my burger made for a more tasty sandwich.

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