Good Wednesday to one and all. A strong system is digging into the region over the next few days and will touch off a pretty active setup. Strong storms and heavy rains will unleash some very cool air for this time of year, just in time for the final weekend of July.
The system is compact and digging, and those are the ones that can overachieve in terms of severe weather and heavy rainfall…
The Storm Prediction Center has much of the region in the severe weather risk on Thursday…
In addition to the severe threat, we will need to be on guard for possible flash flooding.
The air coming in behind this has a taste of fall with it. The GFS forecast lows by Saturday morning…
It has highs in the upper 70s for Friday, but is a little cooler for Saturday’s highs…
As far as today is concerned, a few storms will develop in the west and south, with a few evening storms trying to move into the state from the northwest. A few of those can be strong. I leave you with today’s storm tracking toys…
Make it a great Wednesday and take care.
Thanks Chris, I will take the much needed rain, and I really like the cooler than normal temperatures forecast for the weekend. It’s going to be interesting, as to where the severe weather will occur. My guess, would be through central Indiana, and down across southwest Ohio into eastern Kentucky. My reason, for this is that the upper level high pressure system is still in place, and is blocking and decreasing the energy as it moves south and east. Have a great day everyone, and remember, lets all be friends on this wonderful blog Chris Bailey provides for all who is interested in weather discussion.
where is the upper level high actually located and what areas in and around us are influenced by it? Because the slight risk tomorrow goes all the way deep into Tennessee.
Can you predict where the storms will in WV…Cabell, Putnam, Mason?!?!
**Yawn**
Go back to bed Ralph, You’re boring.
Chris can you get this Ralph cretin outta here?
It would take too long for me to explain in detail. In a nutshell, the upper level high takes hold in the Ohio river valley this time of the year, and sometimes in other seasons. It is what causes storms to weaken in some areas and strong in other areas. Around, the edges of the high is where the best chances for storm development. This is because the warm, humid air is rising and colliding with the cooler air aloft. Inside, the high, the air is sinking and compressing ( heating up ), thus there is no contrast in temperatures, which means no rain or storms.
He didn’t get his little boy sleep. Keep on posting Schroeder and don’t even respond to ignorant people.
It looks like the slight risk for tomorrow was downgraded.
The SPC giveth, and taketh away.