Good Monday, everyone. We continue to track rounds of heavy rain producing showers and storms across our region. This kicks off another week of much cooler than normal weather with additional rounds of showers and storms rolling through.

Sunday saw the rainfall numbers really adding up. Several areas picked up 1-2.5″ of rain on the day. Today’s rains may cause some local high water issues through the early afternoon. This action will taper off from west to east through the day with highs in the 70s. Track away…

Additional shower and storms will fire up later this week and carry us through the upcoming weekend and into early next week. While this isn’t a constant rain, locally heavy rain numbers will be possible, leading to some issues on occasion.  Temps continue to run well below normal for this time of year.

The average rainfall numbers from the GFS Ensembles show a very active pattern across the eastern half of the country for the next few weeks…

By the end of the month, temps should rebound, giving us some normal or even slightly above normal numbers…

You can clearly see how the WeatherBell CFS 5 day average temp anomalies to end August are toasty to our north, but cooler to our south.

The warm anomalies do not stay around very long. Watch the cool temps show up on the 5 day average centered on Labor Day week…

And the following 5 days…

There’s something to be said about persistence when it comes to seasonal forecasting. Can this pattern hang through the upcoming fall and winter months? Hmmm

Make it a great Monday and take care.