Update On The Week Ahead

Good Sunday afternoon, everyone. I wanted to drop by for an update on what is likely to be a very busy weather week ahead. A few storms will increase in the coming days, but the main action may come later this week when Harvey decides to finally move.

We have an upper level low spinning into the region Monday and Tuesday. This will cause rounds of showers and storms to increase, with some of them producing very heavy rains. Pockets of 1″-2″ rains may show up…

This can cause some local high water issues to develop.

Harvey continues to produce historic flooding across Texas. Words cannot describe the destruction and heartbreak that’s going on their now. Unfortunately, it’s only going to get worse with another 20″-30″ of rain possible. Harvey may even slip back out over the water and strengthen again before a 2nd landfall. This may go down as the biggest natural disaster in our country’s history.

We need Harvey to start to move and FAST. The European Model finally begins to kick Harvey out of Texas by late Wednesday into Thursday…

Notice some of the rains ahead of Harvey are working into Kentucky during this time. The new European then takes what’s left of Harvey and moves it right into Kentucky from Friday through Sunday…

That would bring a flood threat our way, IF it’s accurate.

The Canadian Model does support the European…

The GFS has been all over the place with Harvey, but again, it is the GFS. Even so, the model isn’t that far away from what the above models are showing…

Moral of the forecasting story: There is an increased chance we have to deal with rains from Harvey later this week, but it’s certainly not set in stone.

I’ll have the new model forecasts with my late night update.

Take care.

12 Comments

Mike S on August 27, 2017 at 5:33 pm

Some places in se texas now over 25″…storm total estimates now forecast for up to 50″ by the time Harvey finally goes away.

Perspective time…KY Mesonet out of Harlan county has registered just over 48″ for the year so far, for the year (highest in the state?)! Some may get that in one week in Texas.

Terry on August 27, 2017 at 5:53 pm
I have 48.60 here at the house for the year and 9.06 for August-to-date. I don’t live on top of Black MT but same rainfall here in the valley just a whole lot hotter than the mesonet obviously at over 4,000 ft elevation.

Prelude on August 27, 2017 at 6:10 pm

So before CB came out with his afternoon update Schroeder says that for the ones that refer to Chris Bailey as CB we are being very disrespectful for referring to Chris Bailey as CB. Anything else Schroeder we can do to appease you?

Jeff Hamlin on August 27, 2017 at 6:57 pm
It’s about as disrespectful as calling water wet.
Wintettr lover on August 27, 2017 at 8:29 pm
Prelude and to whom ever leave Schroeder alone he’s telling the facts about the past rough winters and the drought which is accurate what he is saying . Just because you don’t agree to his comments and sometimes I don’t , but he had said about the history of our lifetime weather is true
- Jeff Hamlin on August 27, 2017 at 9:03 pm
  Except he is dead wrong to say that no real winter has occurred after 1977-78.
  - Prelude on August 27, 2017 at 9:09 pm
    Or the fact that bloggers calling Chris Bailey, CB is now considered disrespectful in Schroeder’s eyes.
- Prelude on August 27, 2017 at 9:06 pm
  Nope I’ve done nothing wrong. Schroeder can post about the past weather events from 20-40 years ago I don’t have a issue with that at all.

Virgil E. on August 27, 2017 at 9:14 pm

As a wide man once said…..”Dont Feed The Trolls”

Another wise man once said…..”there is nothing more important than respecting your fellow man & yourself, in that order.”

Dont know who said the first one, but I made up the latter in the hopes some on here will realize with a natural disaster going on, that we not use CB’s weather blog to rip on each other.

I also wonder what severe weather potential the remnants of Harvey could bring?

Virgil E. on August 27, 2017 at 9:16 pm

As a wise man once said Dont Feed The Tr olls

Another wise man once said there is nothing more important than respecting your fellow man & yourself, in that order.

Dont know who said the first one, but I made up the latter in the hopes some on here will realize with a natural disaster going on, that we not use CB’s weather blog to rip on each other.

I also wonder what severe weather potential the remnants of Harvey could bring?

Kasher1979 on August 29, 2017 at 6:22 pm

Hey guys Funnel cloud to south. I saw it sitting here at rapherties parking lot in Lex!!! It just went back up but I was afraid it was going to touch down

Kasher1979 on August 29, 2017 at 6:23 pm

I took a pic of it. Chris let me know. I left you a message on your voicemail I can send you the pic. I don’t know how to post it on here.

Mike S on August 27, 2017 at 5:33 pm
Some places in se texas now over 25″…storm total estimates now forecast for up to 50″ by the time Harvey finally goes away.
Perspective time…KY Mesonet out of Harlan county has registered just over 48″ for the year so far, for the year (highest in the state?)! Some may get that in one week in Texas.
- Terry on August 27, 2017 at 5:53 pm
  I have 48.60 here at the house for the year and 9.06 for August-to-date. I don’t live on top of Black MT but same rainfall here in the valley just a whole lot hotter than the mesonet obviously at over 4,000 ft elevation.
Prelude on August 27, 2017 at 6:10 pm
So before CB came out with his afternoon update Schroeder says that for the ones that refer to Chris Bailey as CB we are being very disrespectful for referring to Chris Bailey as CB. Anything else Schroeder we can do to appease you?
- Jeff Hamlin on August 27, 2017 at 6:57 pm
  It’s about as disrespectful as calling water wet.
- Wintettr lover on August 27, 2017 at 8:29 pm
  Prelude and to whom ever leave Schroeder alone he’s telling the facts about the past rough winters and the drought which is accurate what he is saying . Just because you don’t agree to his comments and sometimes I don’t , but he had said about the history of our lifetime weather is true
  - Jeff Hamlin on August 27, 2017 at 9:03 pm
    Except he is dead wrong to say that no real winter has occurred after 1977-78.
    - Prelude on August 27, 2017 at 9:09 pm
      Or the fact that bloggers calling Chris Bailey, CB is now considered disrespectful in Schroeder’s eyes.
  - Prelude on August 27, 2017 at 9:06 pm
    Nope I’ve done nothing wrong. Schroeder can post about the past weather events from 20-40 years ago I don’t have a issue with that at all.
Virgil E. on August 27, 2017 at 9:14 pm
As a wide man once said…..”Dont Feed The Trolls”
Another wise man once said…..”there is nothing more important than respecting your fellow man & yourself, in that order.”
Dont know who said the first one, but I made up the latter in the hopes some on here will realize with a natural disaster going on, that we not use CB’s weather blog to rip on each other.
I also wonder what severe weather potential the remnants of Harvey could bring?
Virgil E. on August 27, 2017 at 9:16 pm
As a wise man once said Dont Feed The Tr olls
Another wise man once said there is nothing more important than respecting your fellow man & yourself, in that order.
Dont know who said the first one, but I made up the latter in the hopes some on here will realize with a natural disaster going on, that we not use CB’s weather blog to rip on each other.
I also wonder what severe weather potential the remnants of Harvey could bring?
Kasher1979 on August 29, 2017 at 6:22 pm
Hey guys Funnel cloud to south. I saw it sitting here at rapherties parking lot in Lex!!! It just went back up but I was afraid it was going to touch down
Kasher1979 on August 29, 2017 at 6:23 pm
I took a pic of it. Chris let me know. I left you a message on your voicemail I can send you the pic. I don’t know how to post it on here.

12 Comments

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