Good afternoon, gang. Showers and thunderstorms are kicking off a very wet week here in the commonwealth of Kentucky. The remnants of Harvey are expected to track our way for the second half of the week, bringing very heavy rains into the region.
Let’s start with the storms that are out there today. Local 1″-2″ amounts may cause some quick rises on area creeks and streams…
More of the same will be noted for Tuesday as our upper level system works through the Ohio Valley.
From there, it’s all about what happens with Harvey. I made this Map Sunday, and see no need for any changes right now…
The latest National Hurricane Center forecast continues to adjust toward the above scenario…
The GFS is finally aboard with this scenario…
We will need to be on guard for Flooding issues to develop late week into the Labor Day weekend. This is a slow-moving system and the models will likely undercook the rain numbers well inland.
I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm.
Enjoy your afternoon and take care.
I wonder if it will still have severe weather potential once the remnants get here
At this time it looks like a low if not zero severe threat. Still plenty of time for the SPC and other entities to revise their outlooks.
But as Chris touched on, we may really need to be on guard for some localized flooding. The remains of Harvey would arrive here over already saturated grounds.
Boy the NWS has sure been slow on forecasting whether Harvey to affect our area. Now saying they think it will but how much anyone’s guess. Not very far out in front of this one. Playing it rather conservative.
My nws “point click” forecast has been showing 20% for today. Turns out it was more like 100%.. Needless to say I wasn’t expecting this washout.
On the NWS FB page they were saying that it wouldn’t affect us at all that it was going to stay south and the latest is they aren’t sure if the rain this weekend will be from Harvey or not. SMH Sometimes i wish they would use a little common sense but these days it is rare for anybody to.
Lol are they really saying that? If they would cut out the spite and stop forecasting the exact opposite of what I say and just forecast the actual weather, they would be much better off.
NWS seems a bit skeptical how far north the remnants of Harvey gets to be picked up by the westerlies. NWS is acknowledging that rain seems somewhat evident and some heavy rain could set up somewhere in the Ohio Valley. It seems to me with each model run the NWS is getting more confident with the remnants of Harvey affecting the Ohio Valley.
I remember the days when a forecaster was a forecaster and not a computer model reporter. Sigh