Pot Of Chili ALERT

Good Wednesday to one and all. We are issuing a full blown Pot Of Chili ALERT for the next few days. Yes, I know we had chili weather this past weekend, but I can’t issue an alert like this with flooding rains taking place. 🙂

While we are enjoying a blast of fall, Hurricane Irma is a monster heading toward Florida. We will get to that in a moment.

Let’s start with today’s weather. We will start things out with a clear sky in many areas, but clouds develop this afternoon as cold air aloft helps bubble up some showers and storms. Some of these may produce small, soft hail…

Highs will be in the 60s with gusty winds adding a chill to the air.

Temps Thursday morning can drop deep into the 40s, potentially setting some record lows. Lexington’s record is 48 from 1988. With clear skies, that should fall… even with the airport thermometer.

Thursday will see similar conditions, but with less showers. Highs for Friday through the weekend look to be in the 70s with gorgeous skies. It’s fall.

Hurricane Irma hit 185mph on Tuesday, marking only the 5th storm in the Atlantic basin to ever have winds that high. Here’s a look at the monster…

Hurricane Infrared GOES East

The forecast track from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

Irma will get to near Cuba and then will likely turn due north! Where that turn happens remains to be seen, but it will make a HUGE difference in areas taking the direct impact from Irma. This may very well be a Cat 4 or 5 storm wherever that landfall is.

The GFS is back to showing a track it had a few days ago, with our hurricane going up the east coast of Florida and into South Carolina. Notice the remnants wind up in Kentucky…

The European Model also goes up the east coast of Florida…

The model then takes the hurricane into South Carolina, with rains arriving in Kentucky by Tuesday…

Here are the latest GFS Ensembles spaghetti plot…

I will update things later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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23 Responses to Pot Of Chili ALERT

  1. Ralph says:

    Disney shouldn’t be too crowded this weekend! Think positive!

  2. Jeff Hamlin says:

    I will eat chili in summer and grill in January.

    • LD says:

      Maybe, just maybe mind you, your neighbors wouldn’t mind that behavior if you’d put on more than a thong when you do that out on the deck.

  3. Bernard P. Fife says:

    Thelma Lou said she just saw the Old Farmers Almanac & it’s forecasting a mild & wet winter for KY & most of the Ohio valley.

  4. Peter Kennedy says:

    Don’t you have a stove?

  5. LD says:


    Tracking all the tropical activity.

    I didn’t realize that the Oregon fires were started by teenagers.
    This spot was on my to visit bucket list.


  6. B H says:

    We’ll watch and see where this Hurricane really ends up going.
    Just yesterday the computers were taking it into the Gulf of Mexico.

  7. Ricvice says:

    Irma will end up staying offshore skirt the very outer banks of NC continue to curve and race toward our friendly neighbors north of the boarder. My guess is just as accurate as the NWS at this point or the Farmers Almanac. Let’s hope my guess is right.

  8. Raindrop says:

    The 0-144 from 12z Sept 6 GFS run looks terrifying, and bringing the remnants right to us in a big way.

  9. Andy Rose says:

    This is Chris’s blog he can share what he pleases

  10. Cold Rain says:

    Ouch..Looks like Miami takes a direct hit on the Euro..

  11. MelT says:

    She’s a Cat5. She’s going where the winds pull or push her.

  12. Mike S says:

    Record low temps for some in our region…Some lucky residents might see northern lights tonight.

  13. Schroeder., says:

    Want to let all of you know, that I’am really concerned, and feel very uneasy about what Hurricane Irma is going to destroy once it makes landfall. My older sister and brother in law live in Florida, and I’am worried that they may be caught in this horror. I have been corresponding with them, and I thought it would be better for them to leave now. I have been tracking Irma since Monday and I still have to guess where this monster storm will hit. Computer models are all over the place, as this storm is getting closer. Maybe someday in the future we will have faster computers that will accurately forecast the tracks of these monster hurricanes. Peace, and may god bless all of you.

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