Much Warmer Pattern Kicks In

Good Friday, everyone. We have a much warmer pattern taking shape across the eastern part of the country. This is going to bring an extended run of highs in the 80s to the bluegrass state. As temps warm, we will also watch storm chances begin to increase.

Highs today are back into the 70s with a mix of sun and clouds. There’s enough low level moisture around to keep a small chance for a shower or storm going up…

The same can be said for the weekend, with an isolated shower or thunderstorm going up. Highs will be in the 80-85 degree range and that should be the trend into next week.

Storm chances will be with us at times into next week, especially late Monday into Tuesday, then again by the end of the week. That’s when we have two separate fronts trying to impact our weather.

As all this happens, Jose becomes a hurricane again and may impact the northeastern states. Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

We’ve been talking about this potential for the past several days, even as some prominent weather sources have gone on record saying this would not impact the US.

While the official track keeps skewing west, several forecast models are a full blown hit. Here’s the Canadian…

The GFS is showing something similar. I’ve got the GFS running through the next 2 weeks. You will see the Jose hit on the northeast, thunderstorm chances around here, another tropical system making a run at the east coast, with a change to cool around here to end the month…

This pattern continues to run in maximum overdrive, so let’s see if we can keep this rolling into winter.

BTW, we will start talking some winter this weekend! ๐Ÿ™‚

Make it a great day and take care.


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32 Responses to Much Warmer Pattern Kicks In

  1. Mike S says:

    Wow…GFS and Euro both showing Jose doing some kind of loop-de-loop affecting Atlantic seaboard, Chesapeake bay area. That could be real bad. Go away Jose!

  2. MarkLex says:

    Mike – I saw your past comment about Ventusky – Weird because I just discovered that site about 2 weeks ago watching a YouTube vid. The video didn’t give a link but I just searched what the name of the site was on the screen and there it was. I also found a cool satellite loop.
    http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=fullconus-13-200-1-100

    • Mike says:

      Yeah, the visuals are amazing. The best I have seen. The limitation for me, and everyone really, is how to interpret them. THis can be like drinking from a firehose!

  3. TennMark says:

    Meanwhile, the higher elevations of Wyoming, Idaho and Montana are under Winter Storm Watches and Winter Storm Warnings. A hint of what is way down the figurative road………..regardless of how one feels about it ๐Ÿ˜‰ .

    Parts of Tennessee and Kentucky are under Dense Fog Advisories so use caution on the morning drive to work or c-l-a-s-s. Have a great day, everyone. Thanks Chris.

    • Faye says:

      Hope the snows and colder weather out west help with the wild fires. I remember that with the great fires of 1988 in Yellowstone, it was the snow that put the fires out and not the fire fighting efforts.

  4. Schroeder., says:

    Thanks Chris, Tropical storm Jose is expected to strengthen into a hurricane latter today: http://www.weatherstreet.com/hurricane/2017/Jose.htm Looking forward to your winter discussion this weekend.

  5. Rickie H says:

    Last year we only used 5 snow days. And the majority of that would be melted off by noon. Anxious to hear what this year might bring for us ….

  6. laura says:

    Poor little Ralph has nothing better to do with his life, except to make fun of Schroeder……Sad!

  7. Schroeder., says:

    Here’s more on those 1988 Yellowstone fires: https://www.yellowstonepark.com/park/1988-fires-yellowstone

  8. Mike S says:

    While some statistics might still be true, remember that this article was written on February 16, 2015, the day it snowed over 10″ only to be followed by another 10″ on March 5. It was highlighting stats prior to that date of February 16, 2015. Other recent stats (I could not get them all) was the -18 degree reading set a few days after the first big snow of February, negating the last time of -10 degrees and a correction to the Herald Leader that 55.4 inches is the snowiest season using the July 1 – June 30 time period not 53″ that it stated.

  9. Mike S says:

    Thanks to the Ca_s_sini Huygens team for the past 20 years helping us to view Saturn and its moons with a little more appreciation. What a fitting end to a spectacular voyage!

  10. Schroeder., says:

    Ralph, is doing more to me than making fun. I don’t know what I did to upset him, and others on this forum. I know earlier I upset Chris Bailey on a comment about El nino, and he nearly took my head off. Prelude, has verbally beat me up a number of times. I have tried to shorten my post, but this has not help. I could write volumes on the hurricanes we had and also on this coming winter, but I’am not. Put yourself in my shoes and see how it feels to be humiliated every time you submit a post. I will continue to post, because I like to converse with people who are interested in meteorology. I have learned a lot since I been on this blog, and I hope to continue to learn, good for the mind.

  11. P says:

    He’s just saying “Thanks.” What in the world is wrong with that?

  12. Schroeder., says:

    It’s now Hurricane Jose and is moving northwest towards North Carolina’s outer banks. I was afraid of this occurring, yesterday. Jose could get larger in area coverage, however the surface sea temperatures are cooler along the shores, so some weakening is possible and some southwesterly winds aloft will cause shearing before landfall somewhere along mid- Atlantic northward towards Long Island, New York. Here’s the 5:00 pm forecast and discussion: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT2+shtml/112106.shtml

  13. Schroeder., says:

    LETS ALL BE FRIENDS HERE AND STICK TO WEATHER DISCUSSION. I’AM SURE THIS IS WHAT CHRIS BAILEY WANTS ON HIS WEATHER BLOG. PLEASE BEHAVE AS CHRIS IS GOING TO DISCUSS THIS COMING WINTER, AND I LIKE HIM DON’T WANT ANY DISTRACTIONS. HAVE A GOOD EVENING AND NIGHT AND GOD BLESS ALL.

  14. Troy says:

    Very curious as to what Chris’ early winter thoughts myself.

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