Good Tuesday to one and all. We have scattered showers and storms increasing across the region today, as our warmer than normal pattern rolls on. This same setup is likely to carry us through the upcoming weekend, before cooler changes sweep back into town next week.

Today’s stormy action will be more widespread than what we had on Monday, and some locally heavy downpours are a good bet…


I have no changes to my overall through process through the upcoming weekend. Each day can feature scattered showers and storms with highs running in the 80-85 degree range for many. Humidity levels will be up, giving us a semi-muggy feel here in the second half of September.

The tropics continue to feature Jose and Maria. Jose is moving into cooler waters off the northeast, weakening this system. Maria is a powerful hurricane moving across the Caribbean…

Hurricane Infrared GOES East

Jose will likely bring tropical storm force conditions to areas of the northeast over the next few days. This storm should slow down and do a little loop…

cone graphic

That loop is likely to play a big role in where Maria goes. From a meteorological perspective, it’s going to be fascinating to watch these two systems interact with one another.

Here’s the latest National Hurricane Center track for Maria…

cone graphic

The latest model runs are keeping Maria just off the east coast. The GFS has a deepening trough developing, helping to push this system to the east. Here’s the extended GFS run through the first few days of October…

That’s a much cooler pattern settling in…

The GFS Ensembles show this chilly shot as we end the month…

More winter talk later this week. Make it a great day and take care.