Late Summer Pattern Hangs On

Good Wednesday to one and all. Summertime air continues to take up residence across our part of the world, and this will likely carry us into early next week. Once we get to that point, our colder than normal setup looks to return as we say goodbye to September and hello to October.

There just isn’t  much change to the overall pattern through the rest of the week. Daytime highs are generally from 80-85, but any day featuring more clouds and scattered storms will keep temps in the upper 70s.

Speaking of scattered storms, we have some to track today…


Rubber stamp today’s forecast and play it right on through the coming weekend. Bigger changes move in after that and I will get to those in a moment.

Let’s talk tropics now and give you the latest on Jose and Maria…

Hurricane Infrared GOES East

Jose continues to weaken as it loops off the northeastern coast…

cone graphic

The loop from Jose will likely draw Maria on a more northward turn, which could spare the east coast. Here’s the track from the NHC…

cone graphic

The pattern flips back to cooler than normal by the middle and end of next week.

Take a look at the 5 day temperature departures from the CFS model over the next 30 days…

 A little world of caution for this time of year… This crazy hurricane season will have a lot to say about these cool shots ahead.

Have a great day and take care.


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19 Responses to Late Summer Pattern Hangs On

  1. Amanda says:

    I couldn’t agree more with your last statement. earlier in the summer I did some research on active hurricane seasons and the winters that followed them . The findings were extremely interesting.

  2. Schroeder says:

    In the summer of 1969, we had an active Atlantic hurricane season. This was the year we had Hurricane Camille, one of the worse hurricanes to make landfall as a category five in Mississippi. That Autumn 1969, we had beautiful weather, with frost in mid- September and hardly any swings in temperatures. On December twenty first, we had our first significant snowstorm, and there after the snows came every three days, and this pattern continued through March 1970. The temperatures were not all that cold, maybe teens, if memory serves. I, must mention this, in 1969, we had over a foot of snow on Christmas day, which fell on Christmas Eve, and another snowstorm on New Years Eve. This was the only time in my 66 years I experience a rare weather event like this. This happen in my home town of Washington, Indiana, which is located in southwest Indiana. Back then, no weather caster mention El nino or La nina. However, I recently look up the past years of ENSO and found that in 1969-70, we had a weak El nino. This winter, there is a 65% chance of a La nina. I expect, mild and wet for the upcoming winter 2017-18.

  3. Schroeder says:

    Here’s the latest on Hurricane Maria: http://www.weatherstreet.com/hurricane/2017/Maria.htm

  4. Schroeder says:

    In my opinion, the barometric pressure globally is so out of balance, that the Earth is balancing it out by a very active and dangerously Atlantic hurricane season. The climate of the Earth is changing, what is causing these extremes is not clear. Weather modification, over population, or is it just a natural weather cycle.

  5. Virgil says:

    Even the Weather Channel liked a tweet of mine that said “Mother Nature cannot be controlled, regulated, solved. It is what it is”.

  6. winter lover says:

    I really believed that the weather comes in cycles in some term. I can remember back in the 60’s and early 70’s scientist were saying were entering the ice age due the fact we were experiencing such cold and harsh winters at the time, Now the scientist are saying the earth is getting hotter due warmer climate which is hog wash. Mother nature is what it is.

  7. Schroeder says:

    List of the snowy winters in Lexington, Kentucky, along with the years with the least snow: https://www.weather.gov/media/lmk/climate/clilex/top_ten_snowiest_and_least_snowy_seasons.pdf

  8. Schroeder says:

    Here’s a list of years of ENSO, El nino, neutral, La nina: Take note on the years 1917-18. This was the coldest and snowiest winter on record in most of the Ohio valley, and it was a La nina year. Just doesn’t figure:https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/enso/past_events.html

  9. Schroeder says:

    Here’s 1917 Atlantic hurricane season, it was a some what active year. What I’am trying to find out is to compare it with 2017 hurricane season, so we may use this information to predict the coming winter. At this point I have no idea what the winter will be base on these findings. I give up, I don’t know enough about long range weather forecasting. I’ll leave it to Chris Bailey, as I heard he is very accurate when it comes to long range winter outlooks: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1917_Atlantic_hurricane_season

  10. feederband says:

    I’ve been watching a thunderhead explode over portions of LouMetro. One can see the boiling effect of the clouds of cauliflower. It’s a sight to see and I don’t get to watch it that often from my swing on my deck.

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