Patchy Frost Threat Follows The Front

Good Sunday, everyone. A strong cold front is racing across Kentucky today, bringing gusty shower and thunderstorms our way. The bigger news is the chilly air coming in behind this boundary. Temps can get cold enough for some patchy frost to develop over the next couple of mornings.

Today’s showers and storms won’t be big rain makers, but can put down a quarter of an inch in several areas…


Winds are going to be very gusty today and could reach 30-35mph at times. The temperature drop is going to be pretty awesome to see and feel. Many of us start in the 70s and end with the 50s crashing in from northwest to southeast. By evening, readings are dropping into the 40s, setting the stage for a cold night.

The NAM has a few spots in the upper 30s by Monday morning…

Monday looks like a terrific fall day with highs struggling to get out of the upper 50s…

Tuesday morning will likely see lows dropping into the mid and upper 30s for much of central and eastern Kentucky…

I wouldn’t be surprised to see the colder valleys nearing the freezing mark, and the Hi Res Nam takes some areas below that…

Patchy frost is a good bet to start the day. The rest of Tuesday will see temps into the 60-65 degree range in the central and east, with higher numbers in the west. Tuesday night may also see some areas of frost developing.

The rest of the week looks awesome with temps returning to the 70s late in the week into the start of next weekend.



With a much colder pattern likely developing for the final week or so of October, many of the models continue to indicate some early season flake potential across the Ohio Valley and Appalachian Mountains.

GFS Ensembles

European Ensembles

Recent runs of the GFS have been showing this potential…

Obviously, those are way out there in fantasy land, but they do match some of the analog years I have come up with.

I may throw another update your way later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.


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5 Responses to Patchy Frost Threat Follows The Front

  1. Mike S says:

    Sounds like perfect fall weather for us.
    How about parts of United Kingdom (more likely Ireland) to be affected by Ophelia? Possibly worst storm in decades for them…strange weather indeed.

  2. Mike says:

    This is getting me thinking about winter camping trips!

  3. JJTeach says:

    I wouldn’t mind an early season snow day before Thanksgiving…just saying

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