Monday Evening Madness

Good evening, gang. The overall pattern continues to evolve toward what we have been talking about on the blog for a few weeks now. It’s a very cold look taking shape next week into the early part of November, and it has a chance to throw some tricks our way before Halloween.

Speaking of cold, areas of frost are likely tonight as temps drop into the 30s for much of the state. Green thumbs are on high alert.

Regular readers know I’ve been talking about some of my analog years like 2013 and 1995. These were warm for the first half of October, then featured a quick change to cold and even threw some flakes in here before the month was over. It didn’t take long before the current pattern started throwing out clues it was going to try and go that route, and I’ve been showing you those for the past week.

As we get closer, the models are really starting to pick up on all this. Let’s watch the GFS run from this weekend to Halloween night…

That’s a very active and cold look to the model. We should see the first system impact our region with showers and storms late this weekend into early next week. That has a nice shot of cold coming in behind it by Tuesday…

That could bring the first flakes of the season to the high elevations along the Appalachian Mountains.

I’ve mentioned how a bigger trough would likely develop later next week and that those kinds of troughs are usually accompanied by a big storm. The GFS…

Now, that is likely too amped up, but you get the idea. It’s that shot of cold that we could get flakes flying into parts of the Ohio Valley.

The model then has another system digging in to end October…

The Canadian Model doesn’t go out as far as the GFS, but it’s singing a similar cold tune for the middle and end of next week…

Those temps are cccccold…

Buckle up, kids… The fun and games may get started early this winter.

Enjoy your evening and take care.

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10 Responses to Monday Evening Madness

  1. Dottie says:

    Oh my!

  2. SpaceGhost says:

    Tony Cavalier indicated a disappointing winter for snow lovers this evening. Figures…

  3. Double A says:

    I check your site, first thing, EVERY morning! Can’t wait for cold and snow!! ❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️

  4. Rickie H says:

    Thank you for the weather nuggets, I enjoy reading every blog you send out. No matter what kind of winter we end up having it’s still fun!

  5. JJTeach says:

    It’s time for the blog to increase its hits like crazy! I check this blog daily every day of the year, but not I’m checking at least two to three times a day. I don’t want to miss an outlook that’s heading toward a possible “White ground” alert!
    Last winter was pretty pitiful so I’m ready for this one to make it up to me!

  6. Mike says:

    Now that’s what I’m talking ’bout!

  7. Crystal In Pikeville says:

    Chris bring on the tricks!! What did Tony call for last year just curious?

  8. Machell says:


    30 second dance party!!!!

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