Wild Weather Possible Next Week

Good Thursday, everyone. As we continue to roll through a gorgeous stretch of fall weather, it’s all eyes on the pattern developing for the final week of October. It’s a setup likely to bring much colder air into the eastern half of the country.

Let’s begin with today and roll forward. Highs will top out around 70 in the east with low and mid 70s in the west. Skies stay sunny.

Friday and Saturday look AWESOME with highs in the 70-75 degree range for many of us. A few clouds will be noted as we head into Saturday as a southwesterly flow begins to really kick in. That flow is ahead of a storm system rolling in here for Sunday and Monday.

Showers and thunderstorms increase from west to east on Sunday and this action continues into Monday. Low pressure likely rolls right on top of the region, bringing heavy rainfall.

The European Model has this wrapping up into one heck of a storm and riding right on top of us, producing some big winds to go along with the heavy rain and crashing temps. The new run of the Euro cuts this storm off right on top of us…

The GFS is slowly coming around to this idea, but is likely too far east with the low…

That’s typical of the model in a cold weather season setup.

Regardless, this is a potent storm system set to impact our region into the first half of next week. Gusty winds, heavy rain and a HUGE temp crash are all on the table.

Another push of cold air comes our way by Friday into next weekend. Check out both of our cold air surges for next week…

That weekend shot have even colder temps and has a chance to produce some flakes into the Ohio Valley and Appalachian Mountains. A hard freeze is likely during this time.

I’ve talked a lot recently about what’s going on in the western Pacific, Lan is developing into a Super Typhoon and may threaten Japan as it curves to the northeast…

A recurving typhoon in that region is usually a signal for a deep trough across the eastern part of the country. This system reminds me of a weaker version of Super Typhoon Nuri from late October and early November of 2014…

That went on to form a monster of a storm as it rolled into Alaska…

That scenario of a recurving typhoon is widely considered as the driving force behind record cold that engulfed much of the country in November of 2014. We had numerous record lows here along with a top 10 coldest November on record. A few systems even put down accumulating snows.

Now… Check out where the remnants of Lan go by the middle of next week…

Very interesting!

While I am NOT saying our current setup will produce the extreme conditions we had back in a similar setup 3 years ago, but it’s pretty amazing to look at the similarities.

I will update things later today. Have a good one and take care.


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15 Responses to Wild Weather Possible Next Week

  1. JJTeach says:

    Amazing how weather cycles repeat themselves!

  2. Wes says:

    Help us to understand what this means in simple terms as far as winter weather is concerned (end of October/November)…lol…

  3. MarkLex says:

    Finally some exciting posts – I feel like other than the tropical remnant’s rains we’ve had, it’s just been strings of nothing but absolutely boring weather –

    • Jeff Hamlin says:

      I have never seen a boring post. It’s a shame that most here only care to comment during the winter.

    • TennMark says:

      Tropical systems like hurricanes are indeed very interesting to me from a dynamics point of view. Unfortunately, such wx of course can be catastrophic to life and property. But late summer to early fall weather in our immediate area is often not so exciting from a dynamics point of view even if the weather can often be great. I would hate to be a meteorologist in southern California during the summer months.

      Winter in our area has interesting dynamics with the snow storms even though I’m a minority (on this blog) in that I don’t care for constant snow and cold. Spring severe wx is the most interesting time of the year to me although we pay a price with the tornado threat peaking in spring.

  4. Coffeelady says:

    I foresee a switch to winter clothes in my near future….not sure I am ready for that but here it comes! Thanks Chris, and have a great day everyone. It’s Friday Eve!!!!

  5. Rickie H says:

    I am ready for a hard freeze. Hopefully some of these allergies and bugs will die down

  6. Alan W. Palmer says:

    Chris,
    Just wanted to drop a note letting you know how much the rest of us across western Kentucky appreciate your accurate forecasts. I have your blog bookmarked and check in daily. Keep up the good work.

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