Good Friday, folks. Our nice weather pattern rolls on for a few more days, then some big time changes blow into the bluegrass state. It all starts with a potent storm system early next week, with cold shots coming in behind that. The potential is there for several shots of cold to show up for the last week or October into early November.
The weather today and Saturday continues to look amazing. Highs will be in the 70s with a mix of sun and clouds.
Those clouds will increase from west to east late Saturday into Sunday. A few showers and storms will impact far western Kentucky as early as Saturday night . Much of the Sunday shower and storm action hangs around western Kentucky, and can produce heavy rains…
Low pressure then develops to our southwest and rolls near us on Monday. Gusty winds, showers and storms, heavy rainfall and a big temperature crash will be noted from this system. The GFS, as expected, continues to correct itself as we get closer…
The European Model brings the system right over us on Monday…
That storm system can drop a couple inches of rain across our part of the world. Wind gusts may also reach 30mph at times, especially as the low goes by and cold air surges in from the northwest. That same northwesterly flow will then produce rain showers, with a plume of moisture coming off Lake Michigan. That scenario may also spit out some snowflakes in the higher elevations of the Appalachian Mountain chain.
That system pulls away on Thursday as winds gust up ahead of the next front dropping in here by Friday and Saturday. The European Model is trying to make this into another good rain and wind maker ahead of more cold air pouring in…
The Canadian Model isn’t as wet, but has the cold…
The same model shows some very cold temps one week from tonight…
That may be a bit too cold, but you get the idea.
The GFS Ensembles, similar to what the European Ensembles are doing, continue to show the flakes potential across the Ohio Valley at some point over the next few weeks…
I will update things later today. Have a fantastic Friday and take care.
I’m a little late reporting this…this past October 18 marked the 10-year anniversary of the largest October tornado outbreak of the Paducah county warning area. No deaths thankfully, but several injuries. Also, an EF-3 monster pummeled Daviess county.
Chris didn’t comment on the noaa winter forecast…could it be a moderate sign he agrees with it? Thelma Lou is hoping we don’t wear shorts & tanks again on Christmas.
Now that would be a BOLD prediction for this year’s winter forecast!
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Thanks Chris. Gotta get those closets organized. Don’t want to get caught with short sleeves when I need sweaters! But I will enjoy this weekend outside. Looks like it may be the last really warm one for a bit. Hey! It’s FRIDAY! Everyone have a great day!!!
I’m getting curious about early thoughts for Halloween night. Here’s to hoping there’s some chill in the air!
I dont trust the NOAA forecast. The Tropics being so active has skewed the data.