Good Monday, folks. A fast-moving storm system is rolling right on top of the region today, bringing heavy rain and a few thunderstorms. This system will help usher in a much colder setup for the rest of the week, with the potential for additional cold shots to round out October and kick off November.
Today’s rains move through here pretty quickly, dropping a good inch or two for several areas. The heaviest rains will be centered on the first half of the day in the west, with the east getting the main action this afternoon and evening…
Winds are going to be very gusty as temps drop from northwest to southeast. Readings start the day in the 60s and drop into the 50s late in the day.
The real chill arrives Tuesday with temps dropping from the 50s to the 40s in the afternoon and evening. Northwesterly winds will produce scattered showers that hang around into Wednesday. Some of those may be in the form of flakes in the high ground to our east.
Temps on Wednesday will be from 50-55 in the west to 45-50 for the central and east. Gusty winds will make it feel even chillier. Temps by Thursday morning head toward the freezing mark.
Temps rebound later Thursday into early Friday as winds gust up from the southwest. This is ahead of a strong cold front moving in later in the day on Friday. The models are now speeding up the arrival time of the front, with crashing temps Friday afternoon and evening…
The faster movement of the front doesn’t allow it to pick up as much moisture as earlier runs. Still, the cold catches the back edge of the shower shield. The GFS shows a few flakes in the east Friday night…
The GFS now shows a winter looking system diving in quickly by Saturday night into Sunday…
With cold air in place, look at what we have here…
This is something the Ensembles have been showing us for a while now, and they continue to have a decent signal for some flakes…
The cold this weekend into early next week is also impressive for this time of year…
This is also a STRONG northwesterly wind bringing the cold into town…
Wind chill maps will likely make their first appearance of the season over the next week.
Actual air temps will drop deep into the 20s for a few mornings in a row. Some of the models take us into the lower 20s…
I will hook you up with another update or two later today, so check back.
Enjoy your rainy Monday and take care.
OK, so it’s going to turn cold early this year. This could be good and bad for winter lovers. Often, if we get cold early, the cold will relax for a while, then come back – at least, it seems that would most likely be the case. But it had me wondering, has there ever been a winter where it got cold in November and stayed cold the entire winter, through March? I know even the harsh winters of the 70s, those winters didn’t really start until January. It seems like I remember a winter back in the early 2000s where it got cold early and it stayed cold more than warm through most of the winter. I think it was the winter we had the 2002/2003 ice storm (or around that)
What your saying is pretty well on it. Seen it happen a lot where it would turn cold early then warm up and stay mild for most of the winter. Are winters have changed since I was a kid in the 50’s & 60’s. I remember going sleigh riding before Thankgiving here in Southern Ohio.
Fall/Winter 2002/2003 seems correct with what you are tbinking. Got a friend who’s dad was working on his roof of his house, and it got cool in the fall, got colder as winter went on, and stayed cool all the way up till March or April.
2009/2010 was one that started fairly early and was overall cold through March, though not particularly harsh–decent annual snowfall that year for most of the state.
Chris,
I just want to say thanks for the time you spend on this page. You do such a great job for folks all across the commonwealth.