A Cold End To The Weekend

Good Sunday, everyone. We continue to deal with a very cold weekend across the bluegrass state. High temps are among some of the coldest you will find around here this time of year. As we look ahead, I see a very active weather pattern taking shape into the first 10 days or so of November.

Highs today may not get to 40 across parts of eastern Kentucky, with 40-45 for the rest of the region. Skies will be mostly cloudy and you may even see some flurries in the central and east. The far southeastern Kentucky mountains may see a little more than flurries early today…

As we are dealing with the cold around here, the east coast is dealing with a monster storm system. Tropical Storm Philippe is working just offshore and may be entrained into the storm, making it a monster into the northeast. Here’s the track of the tropical system…

cone graphic

That’s one heck of a track for any time of year, especially for the end of October, bringing wild weather for our neighbors in the northeastern part of the state.

Back here in Kentucky, a cold front drops in late Monday. Winds will be gusty and I can’t rule out a stray shower. This brings in another chilly air mass for Halloween. Highs are generally in the 40s, with cold temps awaiting the Ghosts and Goblins making their trick or treat rounds. Check out the 8pm temps…

November starts with a cold rain maker across the bluegrass state. It’s a system coming in from the southwest, and there is the chance for some mixed stuff not to far to our north. That’s something to watch early on Wednesday. The rain then takes over…

This kicks off an super active weather pattern, courtesy of a huge temperature gradient setting up across North America. While our temps will moderate, this sets the state for rounds of showers and thunderstorms going up over the first week or so of the month. This can put down a lot of water across our part of the world during this time…

We also have to keep in mind that this is our 2nd severe weather season. In addition to accurately forecasting our early season flakes, some of my analog years also had some November severe weather events.

I will try to update things later today, so check back.

Have a great Sunday and take care.

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15 Responses to A Cold End To The Weekend

  1. TennMark says:

    A bit of snow reportedly coming down around White House TN between the KY-TN line and Nashville!

    • Mike S says:

      Been there. We always stop at the Kroger there near the I-65 ramp…Generally, they have the cheapest gas (plus rewards discount) for much of my trip.

      • TennMark says:

        Yea, perhaps that Kroger has lower prices since it is somewhat farther away from I-65.

        My wife has relatives in Louisville and my sister is near Frankfort so we often refuel in Elizabethtown KY. The Kroger on the northwest side of town can be up to 15 cents cheaper than places in Etown next to I-65 so it can be worth going out of the way.

  2. Mike S says:

    Ky Mesonet update…over 12″ of rain for the month of October near Greenville in Muhlenburg County.

    Louisville went from record setting October warmth to out of the top ten contention in just a week.

    • LD says:

      That’s not normal. That’s just trading one weather extreme for another, over and over. That’s pretty much what happens now.

      If anyone know of a place that still has 4 balanced seasons anymore, please post it so we can all live there.

      • Troy says:

        Unfortunately, balanced seasons no longer exist and haven’t now for the last 20+ years. I won’t be surprised to see this back and forth all “winter”…a week of 30’s-40’s followed by several consecutive days of 60’s+ followed by a few days of monsoon…rinse-repeat. Not making a prediction but simply going by the weather of the past several years (at least that has been the case in my area).

        • Terry says:

          I agree and the current pattern does not favor long term cold, or at least, below average temps for November settling in either. Already, the days and nights appear to skew back above average with the pending monsoon setup coming. All things considered regarding several factors for the upcoming winter season, I do think it will be more harsh than last year….one or two solid weeks of cold and more than a couple of inches of snow will be all we will need to beat the dismal 2016-2017 winter;)

  3. Mark Fisher says:

    Chris, what were your analog years?

  4. Rickie H says:

    We had some fine snow in Jenkins Ky. Pretty while it last.
    Thank you Chris and everyone have a great Sunday

  5. LD says:

    The predicted hard freeze has been amazing this weekend! So much ice on the ground and the windows and everything!! The flood of snow dusting picks posted from the “best chance” region on Friday night were a lot of fun to look through.

  6. Strummer says:

    We just had our first snow fall!!! Woo Hoo!! I took a picture but can’t post it here. But, undeniably, snow flakes! Gardenside area, Lexington!! Winter has arrived, folks!❄️❄️☃️

  7. TennMark says:

    I don’t know if these years match CB’s analog years for November severe wx, but years that had stronger November tornadoes include 1992 (Carrollton KY), 2005 (Madisonville KY, Evansville IN), 2013 (including Paducah KY, eastern Illinois), and 2016 (eastern TN, just as the m-a-s-s-i-v-e forest fires were starting to end).

    While visiting my in-laws in Bowling Green, I personally witnessed impressive vertical shear (a key ingredient for twisters) during the Nov 2013 outbreak as nighttime clouds at different altitudes were going in different directions.

  8. Blizzardtim says:

    We’ve had snow flurries as far south as the tn/ga border today hasn’t got above 40* her in the ten mile area where I live in SE Tn. With flurries off and on all day .. Gatlinburg and pigeon forge has had snow showers all day with snow laying in the mnts

  9. Chris Mercer says:

    Fun fact!! Only seven October days on record have had measurable snowfall recorded at Lexington. However, today Lexington tied the daily snowfall record for October 29th of a trace. This record was originally set in 1954.

  10. MarkLex says:

    I’m not seeing Chris’ twitter feed. Anyway…..I like my house cold, but I have my breaking point at 65 in the house so I turned the heat on yesterday.. I think it’s been a LOOONG time since I’ve turned the heat on for this long in October.

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