Good Thursday, everyone. We are dealing with a very mild and busy weather pattern taking shape across our part of the world. This setup means rounds of some showers and storms, with a heavy rain threat next week. That happens when colder air tries to crash in.
Let us begin with the precious present and roll forward.
Highs today may hit 70 or a little better for areas getting in on some sunshine. For the rest, it’s ONLY mid and upper 60s with a mix of sun and clouds. We could also see a scattered shower or storm around…
Showers and storms increase on Friday as a weak front gets into the region. That front puts the brakes on and goes back to the north over the weekend, allowing for the very mild setup to continue. Scattered showers and storms will also be back with us, but we will see many dry times. Sunday’s temps may surge deep into the 70s.
A stronger cold front moves in with a stout line of showers and storms for Monday. Strong to severe storms are a possibility late Sunday into Monday across the Ohio Valley.
That front then checks up, allowing for rounds of showers and storms to roll eastward through the region. That may give us quite a bit of rain during this time.
Watch how the Canadian handles this…
That also unleashes cold air late next week into the following weekend…
Notice how well that matches up with the latest 5 day temperature forecast anomalies from the CFS for November 8-13…
That same model run has a bounce back for a few days, then brings another big surge of cold in for by Thanksgiving week…
It then shows the cold taking hold as we begin December…
The CFS keeps showing what everything else is pointing to, a very active storm track for our region. Check out precipitation totals through early December…
I’ll hook you up with another update later today. Make it a good one and take care.
Back to the west to east flow. Fronts hang up due to higher pressure to our east. Winter will be delayed again.
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Very informative and intelligent!
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Looks like we may be tracking some apps runner this winter..Sure everyone will enjoy if its the case..Wonder if this is what Chris is hinting at..
Forget to post just one of many winter outlooks..Bubba may be right on the ice deal..
http://www.weatheroptics.net/top-stories/winter-is-only-a-month-away-and-heres-what-you-can-expect
Great information, the Arctic Oscillation is already in the positive phase and the polar low is in the neutral phase. In order for the eastern half of the US to have cold arctic conditions the polar low would have to weaken, which would slow down the westerlies in Canada and allow the arctic air to build and move south into the Ohio river valley. I don’t see this happening this winter. I am pulling the plug on this coming winter and hope for a cold snowy winter in 2018-19.
No winter this year Schroeder’s pulling the plug, it’s gospel ladies and gentlemen. As usual and without fail Schroeder has no clue on what he’s talking about.
I have been through more winters than you have, believe me I know what is going on in the atmosphere.
Schroeder, I believe a trained certified meteorologist with a degree before I believe anything you say about the atmosphere or the upcoming winter or the price of coffee for that matter . Your credibility on this blog is non-existent.
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Looking like that might be the main big threat for us Kentucky folks and not snow. IF we are the fence between cold and warm air this winter- watch out and buy batteries.
Been almost ten years since the last big ice event and that is the longest gap I think we have had without a big ice maker in the area.
There is one thing I’ve notice over the years is that when it is warm in Alaska and the west coast it is usually cold in are neck of the woods.
I tried twice to give you a reason, but Chris Bailey keeps blocking my post. Probably he would rather read comments from Ralph or Prelude. Sad Forum unfortunately.
Nobody is begging you to stay around. If your not happy you know what to do.
Then leave!!! Nobody will be upset I promise.
And mean it this time!!!!
That sounds like a Threat towards me. Should not be allowed on this forum.
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You can be negative and say this winter is over before its even begun if that’s what ur hoping for because im pretty sure there is never a way to tell what exactly will happen or you can be honest and say this winter is up in the air and anythings possible , in cincinnati the last 2 yrs have been pretty lame to say the least and this winter being the same as last is a bold statement
Schroeder and the word “honesty” when it comes to weather should not be used in the same sentence. Schroeder will say the most bizarre off the wall things that are not remotely true.
Thankfully Schroeder has spoken and thanks to him we know exactly what’s going to happen this winter. No need to read the blog anymore or any other trained meteorologists because Schroeder knows more than all of them. Maybe Chris can give you a call about his winter forecast so you can let him know what the weather will he like. You are so smart and intelligent Schroeder.
I don’t know why CB would bother with a winter forecast. Schroeder says there will be no winter this year.
I am not leaving the forum. Under the first amendment of the constitution in the United States of America I have the right as an American to express my opinions. Try arguing that liberals !
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I bet you also take a knee during the Anthem.
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Very Intelligent and informative!!