Thursday Evening Thoughts

Good evening, boys and girls. We are putting the wraps on a very mild and windy day across Kentucky. Now, we track a cold front into the region, with an increase in showers and storms. This kicks off another wet pattern, but colder changes keep showing up for later next week.

Tonight’s showers and storms increase from the west and northwest and will take us into Friday. Some locally heavy downpours will be possible…

Temps will drop across the northern half of the state as the day wears on. That front puts the brakes on and lifts back to the north on Saturday with scattered showers and storms around. Temps will continue to run mild, with very gusty winds.

Temps by Sunday spike deep into the 70s with strong southwesterly winds. This is ahead of a strong cold front that may be producing severe storms just to our north and west. The SPC is already highlighting much of the Ohio Valley in a severe threat…

Those storms will then move in here Sunday night and early Monday…

Some strong storms and gusty winds are possible around here on Monday. The actual cold front slows down just to our south, allowing for rounds of heavy rain to develop and roll across the state into Tuesday and Wednesday…

Notice how the colder air is pressing farther and farther south on each run, making for chillier rains. The below normal temps really show up well by the middle of the week on the European…

The GFS Ensembles agree…

There is a TREMENDOUS buildup of cold air across Canada, just itching to come south. As we get closer… You’re seeing the models now growing colder for next week. These cold shots will likely show up stronger and stronger in the coming week and change.

The models are already looking colder for next weekend. Here’s the European Model…

The European Ensembles control run is frigid…

In looking at the pattern, let’s see if we can get out next snow chance in that 10 day run up to Thanksgiving. My analogs are just a little after Thanksgiving, but the pattern seems to be running a little ahead of that. 🙂

Enjoy your evening and take care.


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3 Responses to Thursday Evening Thoughts

  1. which way is the wind blowing says:

    Interesting update Chris thanks.

  2. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. Interesting for sure…. not liking that I am seeing strong storms on Sunday coming in Ohio…. we are headed up there for the weekend. Oh well…

  3. JJTeach says:

    Let the games begin!

    When do you anticipate releasing your winter forecast Chris? Looking forward to your thoughts as always.

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