Good Friday, folks. It’s the first weekend of November, but it’s looking and feeling more like the first weekend of October. Thermometer readings will run well above normal as we track scattered rain chances. The focus on the forecast is on a big temp fight taking shape next week.
We have a cold front slowing down across Kentucky today. Showers and storms are along and ahead of the boundary, with the bulk of the rains coming during the first half of the day. Some drying skies take place this afternoon and evening with temps mainly in the 60s. Those numbers will drop some during the afternoon and evening.
The front returns to the north as a warm front on Saturday with scattered showers and storms around. Temps hit the low 70s south, with middle 60s in the far north.
Sunday will be super duper windy with gusts of 30mph possible. Temps will steal the show, one week after snow. Highs are deeeep into the 70s for the entire state. Severe weather is likely to develop across parts of the Ohio Valley later Sunday, ahead of a strong cold front.
That line of storms will get in here Sunday night and early Monday, with the potential for strong storms…
Winds will be a big player into Monday as the front slows down.
That front stalls out on top of the region into the middle of the week, with waves of low pressure riding along it. The first wave rolls through here with rain Monday night and Tuesday…
You can clearly see how the colder air is pressing in from the north and northwest. If not, here’s a little better look…
Another system then rolls eastward Wednesday into Thursday, but the models are having a tougher time figuring out how to deal with this. The European Model shows some chilly rains…
Another cold air mass shoots into the northern half of the country by next weekend…
All this cold is going to be a force to be reckoned with later this month into December. Some fun December analogs have been showing up for a long time and they continue to do so as we get closer.
I will update things later today. Have a good one and take care.
It’s always next week. If anyone really wants to know what is really going on in the atmosphere, explore the extra strong Bermuda High pressure system that seems to be dominating for several months. This system will be a significant player in our up coming winter here in the Ohio River valley.
It is always about the following week,and the following month,and following year.
I do not get your drift.
Yep, called a forecast 🙂
Schroeder, your an idiot…
Why doesn’t Chris ban trolls like you?
My guess it is a legal matter. I have the right to express my opinion. Name calling will get you no where.
Shut up, Schroeder. Your arrogance is astounding.
Actually Schroeder, You have no legal rights to express your opinion on a private website such as this. Chris has full legal right to completely ban you & your IP address from commenting on this site. Only in Public do you have a constitutional right to express an opinion.
Actually Chris has not posted some of my more detailed post.
I’m sure the reason why is because it doesn’t make one lick of sense.
again, you have no legal right to post here at all, any content posted by others is entirely at his discretion to allow or not allow. Having said that, you are fully able to start your own weather blog. You can call it SchroedenersWeathercenter.com As long as people never read it, You will always be viewed as right and wrong at the same time.
He couldn’t even use the word “you’re” correctly, and he’s calling you the idiot.
Thanks
It’s okay Schroeder, I get what you mean
Thanks
Once again Schroeder has made the call for this winter so no need to wait for Chris. Thanks to the All Might Schroeder!!!! I can just sit back and relax knowing what this winter will do thanks to his brilliance!
Thelma Lou says always put the money on the warm air.
And win purt-near every time.
when will the winter forecast be out?
If you know meteorology, you should have a handle by now on what the up coming winter will be.
Schroeder if you knew anything about meteorology which you are clueless on you would know that your comments are completely false. Your nothing more than a clueless troll. You know why you don’t like me, or Ralph for that matter? Because we saw right through your manipulative ways while most others fended for you. Most people on this blog see you now for who I saw you for originally. A arrogant disrespectful contradicting know it all that knows a lot of nothing.
It’s amazing to see how people for the most part get along on this blog when your not commenting. When you start trolling around and making unnecessary typical Schroeder comment’s you completely disrupt the harmony on CB’s blog.
All I see are people bashing someone for having a comment/opinion.
Thanks
Shaak, come on now! You know that Schroeder contradicts and disrespect’s this has nothing to do with a opinion or a comment. Schroeder has the uncanny ability to spin things in his favor and then play the victim card.
This always happens only when I make a comment on this forum. I am not from Kentucky and I don’t talk / type like anybody on here. All I want to do is share my knowledge of meteorology. Is that too much to ask for ?
It happens because of your arrogance and your know it all attitude.
I guess all of us hayseeds from KY are too dumb to understand the comments from such a superior mind.
I know meteorology. I have been studying the subject since 1958. I have a degree in agriculture and horticulture as well as agronomy. I worked for almost 40 years in the garden center business and did quite well financially. Don’t tell me that I know nothing about meteorology. I learned from the best.
Then stick to what you know gardening and planting and being a tree hugger. You claimed you learned from the best about meteorology, who did you learn meterology from? The Farmers Almanac?
Thanks
Schroeder you have a guess, not a forecast. Since you have no degree in meteorology I will choose to listen to Chris, not you. Quit acting like you know more than Chris and quit acting like your winter guess is fact. Just like Prelude said, you are rude, arrogant, and very condescending to others and Chris on this board.
All long range forecast are a guess. I have a very good and detailed winter forecast that I believe will pan out.
when did the preliminary winter forecast come out? did i miss it? i live in huntington, wva so i can’t watch him on tv but i follow the blog every day…….i wish the winter forecast would be posted on the blog for out of towners and out of staters……( i know those probably are not words…..towners and staters. ).
In a couple of weeks CB should be coming out with his winter forecast.
It never did….
This past weekend a follower on CB’s Twitter asked about a winter outlook CB responded in a couple of weeks.
Which is not the preliminary one that he told everyone that would be out in a few weeks a month ago.
Yeah good point.
Chris has been giving his winter forecast for quite sometime now. You must have miss it because you don’t understand.
I understand your a idiot. I also understand that Chris has not given his complete winter forecast! Now go plant a tree!!
Chris, just remove the ability to comment. All people do is bash other commentors for their opinions. Otherwise, ban the people being nasty.
Thanks
Wasn’t there supposed to be a preliminary winter outlook in October? He asked for a lot of comments and we gave him tons lol what happened to that?
I can’t argue that. Your guess is as good as mine.
Correct, but the way I look at is this: a closer, less time gapped winter forecast will likely be more accurate anyways. Plus, Chris is by far more accurate than many mets with last year’s winter forecast being an exception compared to his past winter forecasts. Even though last year’s winter forecast didn’t pan out, it was only forecast to be around average anyways so no real loss in my opinion!
Well, he has been dropping several ‘bread crumbs’ along the way, talking about analogs and teleconnections and other hints. Don’t worry, it will eventually lead to one big donut, just whetting your appetite.
All of you on this forum, with an exception, want to just get on here and fight with one another. I guess all of you don’t have anything else to do. Why don’t you practice this old saying ” If you can’t say anything good about anyone or comment in this case don’t say anything at all. Write what you know about the weather and be done with it. Good night and God Bless.
Unfortunately Schroeder will be back within the hour.
Prelude, what do you think the winter will be ? To me you seem to know some meteorology. I get that when I only read your post. When I am not posting on the forum.
So are you saying that your winter guess will be more accurate than Chris’s? Even the best meteorologists will say forecasting winter is still at best an educated guess. Yes they can study analog years where we have had a La Nina with a negative QBO and also years when we have a weak El Nino with a negative QBO since it looks like it might be that way by the end of January, but it’s still a guess. But no your’s and your’s alone above all meteorologists will be the forecast that’s 100% correct? Is that what you are saying??
I’ll tell you what, I won’t post for a whole week and we will see how many comments Chris Bailey gets. It will be interesting to read what all of you post.
One only hopes you stay away longer, but you can’t hold your tongue for even a week.
Schroeder sounds to me what your implying is nobody on CB’s blog is capable of putting a meaningful post about the weather except for you? With your arrogance I’m sure you kiss the mirror before you go to bed.
Honestly I think you’re all a bunch of bickering children. I like to read CB’s forecasts a I tend to trust him more than most others in the area but good lord the comment section is just stupid.
Oh and Let me go ahead and put a condescending ‘thanks’ before some other clown does.
Thanks.
Could not have said it better myself “Adult”.
100% AGREED!!!!!!!
Congrats to you both on your self-righteousness.
Let’s just pretend Schroeder does not exist. Don’t respond and he’ll leave due to no attention.
That might not be a bad idea.
Today’s Chris head line should have said A BLOG FIGHT IS SHAPING UP!!!! Lord have mercy people get a grip of your selfs and used this blog what it is for. Praying for you people.
I live in northern Ohio and have never seen so much bickering in my life. You are all to blame for your lack of courtesy towards each other. Whatever happened to that good old southern hospitality. bj
I’ll just go ahead and add my 2 cents…………………………………………….
$.02