Thunder Threat Increasing

Good Tuesday afternoon. You can’t keep a good weatherdude down! You hear what I’m saying flu bug? We have a spring-like few days ahead of us that will likely feature showers and thunderstorms and the possibility of some strong or severe storms.

The Storm prediction Center has parts of southern and southeastern Ky in a slight risk for severe storms over the next few days…

I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Thursday risk area moved farther northward. The setup will feature a strong cold front working into the Ohio Valley. There is likely to be a strengthening area of low pressure developing along this and working to the northeast. Temps and winds ahead of this on Thursday will really increase with 60s rather common for highs.

A big shot of cold air then dives in behind this front as it swings through on Friday. It’s a situation where we go from thunderstorms to snow showers to start the weekend. The European Model continues to look steady with how all this plays out…

The overall pattern is a very stormy one across the country over the next few weeks. Cold air is really building up in Canada and that could spell some monster amplifications into the middle of March.

Have a great rest of your Tuesday and take care.

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15 Responses to Thunder Threat Increasing

  1. BubbaG says:

    Cool! Now get better and give your flu to the NAM 😉

  2. Cam the Man says:

    I’m ready for March Madness, baby! Bring it! Some BIG severe weather outbreaks minus the death & destruction. Then some more snows like the one from Sunday except more widespread. Roller coaster all the way. Just say no to January 2012. 😀

  3. JJ in Pikeville says:

    How times will the forecast change between now and this weekend? My take is at least 14 times.

  4. bjenks says:

    A northward shift. Say it isn’t so!!! Couldn’t get the snow to shift north, but I am sure the storms will….LOL…Don’t mind it a bit as I am looking forward to some storms and summer.

  5. Snowman says:

    In November this winter had so much potential and hype….really a big let-down. Not a fan of severe spring weather.

    • Cam the Man says:

      I pray this November, the forecast is warm and mild and hopefully we can jinx it early.

      Last November, CB was simply forecasting for winter 2012-13…he just didn’t know it at the time 😉

  6. BengalFan says:

    I can’t beleive im commenting, but I wanted to say again, Chris likes to sure bait us on the blog–“Cold air is really building up in Canada and that could spell some Cold air is really building up in Canada and that could spell some monster amplifications into the middle of March.
    into the middle of March”……..ONE word..TREND..It may build up there, it will come in like this weekend, rain, swing through, flurry(snow shower–who really cares)..(be around 25-30 degrees for maybe two days and then back up to 60, the repeat the cycle,,,Its a easy call and has been the same call all winter long since november!!!!
    The only 1 change of this was this past weekend with S,SE ky got some snow. But majority of people of ky, didnt get anything…
    Ok, that’s it,my only question I have is what does
    monster amplifications mean or equal–Thunder storms or snow storms? To me it means thunderstorms..

  7. BlizzardTim says:

    hope your feeling better soon Chris…Cant be sick on Wynters Birthday now!!…lol…or did I miss it?!?!?….

    Looking forward to the wild weather ahead…storms to SNOW is exciting…and it looks wild,and hyper all the way thru March…

  8. KP says:

    No severe weather for me, please. I was listening to the wind roar today and it got me thinking about all the money we’ve spent to clean up and repair wind damage in the ten years we’ve lived in Bourbon County. A very, very conservative estimate would be $30,000. We could have spent that money on many other things. I do not want more damage!!!

  9. rolo says:

    hmm just on QUE, as IO posted earlier look out for first few week into march. for a SNOW.

    tx CBa i feel even better now on my thoughts.

  10. Mike says:

    Longer posts not going through. Am I the only one with this problem?

    • Mark says:

      Happens to a lot of us. When at work, if there’s even time, I can usually only do short ‘quick and run’ posts. But off the clock, once I make too many longer posts, any more are sent to a cyberspace black hole.

  11. Mark says:

    Article about spring tornado threat:

    Interesting La Niña is now forecast to become neutral by April, compared to earlier predictions it could last into summer. The pro mets can give their thoughts, but wonder if La Niña’s early decline may still be too late to negate KY/TN severe wx much this spring. Just like when taking the kettle off the stove, it still boils for a while longer.

    Gulf waters are still very very warm and juicy. The cold snap not long ago made it well into the Gulf but was probably too short-lived to cool the waters much.

    La Niña only tends to have a general tendency to produce larger, longer track tornadoes due to enhanced jet stream patterns. Otherwise, there is not a big difference in tornado numbers during La Niña and El Niño years. There have been big outbreaks during non-La Niña years. Also, La Niña/El Niño is just one of many factors.

  12. marsha says:

    chris i have had this flu since friday its a killer take care you will need the rest….

  13. Dara says:

    Last year Chris started talking in January about the coming severe weather season and how unusually active it would be and nailed it…..I’m hoping he’ll discuss the possibilities of it soon and how we’ll compare to last year… seems southern KY has become a very active spot in the past few years so an active season makes me think they could getin on above normal numbers again.

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