Good Thursday to one and all. We continue to trackย a strong weekend storm system rolling toward the region. This is a system we have talked about for more than a week now, and it’s likely to bring a little bit of everything with it. From strong storms and high winds to the chance for a few flurries, we have a lot to track.
As we get closer to the storm, we are finding the models going back toward a stronger area of low pressure heading into the Great Lakes. That drags a cold front across the state on Saturday, bringing some wild weather with it.
A line of low-topped showers and thunderstorms will likely sweep through here with the potential for a few strong storms…
With or without the strong storms, wind gusts of 40mph to 50mph are going to crank during this time…
If you’re thinking of putting up those Christmas lights or displays, you may want to hold off a day or so. ๐
Temps ahead of the front spike into the 60s, then drop through the 40s and 30s directly behind the front. The cold air tries to catch the back edge of the line of showers, causing a few flakes to try and mix in Saturday night. The NAM is showing this possibility…
Northwesterly winds on Sunday will continue to usher in cold air, with highs in the 30s and wind chills down in the 20s. Depending on the exact trajectory of that northwesterly flow, a few flurries may fly, especially across the mountains of eastern Kentucky. The GFS Ensembles keep showing the flurry chance…
A few flakes possible… Nothing more… A few flakes possible… Nothing more… Got it? ๐
Speaking of flakes… those same Ensembles show the potential for additional flakes over the next 2 weeks…
Flakes.
I continue to watch the operational runs of the GFS, Canadian and European Models change from one run to the next… Sometimes in dramatic fashion. There’s so much action in the Pacific, they are going to keep struggling right on into Thanksgiving week.
Tonight at 6 is my winter forecast on WKYT. Last year broke my string of hitting 3 consecutive bold predictions, so I’m itching for my rematch with Old Man Winter. ๐
Speaking of winter’s around here, for those who aren’t paying attention, the majority of our winters over the past 10 years have been colder and snowier than normal, with NUMEROUS historic events. We’ve only had 2 dud winters, last year and the winter of 2011/12.
I know those facts don’t fit the agenda of the hit and run weather trolls in our region, but they keep trying. ๐
In terms of the winter ahead, the new seasonal run of the Jamstec is showing two positive signs for winter lovers. A weak, east based La Nina and a tongue of warmer water off the west coast of the United States…
I will have at least one update today, but it’s obviously going to be a little busy for me with the winter forecast tonight. Oh and it’s our station’s Thanksgiving dinner this afternoon, so if I’m a little groggy on air tonight… Blame the turkey. ๐
Have a good one and take care.
Thanks Chris will be watching the winter forecast
Forty to fifty mph winds would likely take our power out. This has always been a problem living in the sticks. I wont be able to see your winter outlook because the only news station we can get is out of Louisville. Will you post it latter ?
Thanks Weather Troll
He’s referring to trolls like you, @sshat.
Thanks
That’s OK Ralph, you can mock me all you want, I deserve it.
Thanks
I also live outside the Lexington TV market. I would look for it on wkyt.com.
I just set my DVR
I remember a LONG time ago, Chris used to do a blog winter forecast in addition to the on-air WKYT winter forecast.
When you say flakes… do you mean there could be any kind of accumulation… or do you mean… just flakes?
I have FB friends in Oklahoma, they’re already flipping out over this fantasy snowstorm the models have been showing around black Friday..
I would say there’s a better chance Trump stops tweeting than this thing hitting KY.
so funny … I thought this was for weather only…please no political garbage
Can’t wait for the winter forecast and your next bold prediction tonight!
What if Trump started tweeting about the weather? Or, better yet, if CB made an annual Bold Prediction for Trump? That would be fun! (Nothing political here – just funny… You can read it any way you like ๐ )
The United States has the best weather, believe me. No other country has as good weather as we do, it’s wonderful. The best.
Hahaha…thats pretty funny stuff. Some people need to relax, wow.
Just drop it..leave one sight to just what itโs about… WEATHER….
Site
Agreed, I see enough political and Trump BS on Facebook…
I want to believe Chris but all the local forecasts in the Huntington viewing area have temps in the 40’s and 50’s if not 60. There’s no hint of cold air except this Sunday with a 40 for the high.
Wsaz changes meteorologists like I change underwear…they are always wait and see and its laughable ..they take whatever the gfs says and run with it…they are terrible
With all due respect Chris, saying that the last 10 years have been colder and snowier depends solely on what part of the state in which you live. That is certainly not the case in the southern tier counties. Here on the KY/TN border, our winters the past 10 years have been overwhelmingly mild and largely snowless “compared” to winters previous to the 10 year mark
On average means that there are some that have more and some that have less, some warmer, some colder, but ultimately he is correct on both counts
When it snows here in central Kentucky we seem to get the most.
Thanks Chris. Looking forward to the bold winter prediction, ( if Jim didnโt ruin it!) ;). Have a great day