Good afternoon, everyone. A windy cold front is blowing across Kentucky, ushering in a seasonal brand of chill for Sunday. While that happens, I’m much more interested in the system coming for the second half of the upcoming week, as the models keep trending colder with this system.

After tomorrow’s chill, milder winds will really crank from Monday through Wednesday. Looks like a good time to put up some Christmas lights, if you haven’t already. 🙂

The system moving in for Thursday and Friday continues to trend a little deeper, with the GFS and European Models now closing this thing off in our region. Here’s the Euro…

The surface map shows a potent system with rain in front of it and the potential for a mix behind it on Friday…

The GFS shows something similar, but a touch more progressive. Watch the upper low cut off…

The surface map also shows rain for Thursday and the potential for a mix as we begin December on Friday…

Granted, it’s a marginal air mass for flakes, but there’s a chance and the models keep trending deeper with the system.

Temps rebound as that pulls away, but it continues to be a full blown powerhouse blocking signal as later into the first week of December. The GFS Ensembles…

The CFS 7 day average shows one deep trough engulfing the eastern half of the country…

West coast ridge? Check. Aleutian low? Check. Block over the North Pole? Check. Block over Greenland? Check.

Look out below!

I will have a full update later tonight, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.