Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, everyone. It’s all eyes on a dramatic change to winter weather coming our way next week. This is one of the colder December looks I’ve seen in many years for the country, and it’s likely to stick around for a while.

As we inch closer to the pattern change of next week, we will start to focus more on individual systems showing up on the operational models. That said, operational models show a lot of variance from run to run, so we have to be mindful of that.

Let’s look at how the European Model brings the cold in with a front and wave of low pressure along it Tuesday and early Wednesday…

Just like the Canadian and earlier GFS runs, the European model has some snow behind the front…

Cold air then overwhelms the pattern for the end of next week. The European Model then takes the trough and goes crazy with a system digging in from the north. Check this thing out…

With the European Model digging this thing sooooo far south, it develops a huge storm coming out of the Gulf late next week…

Given the upper levels on the European Model, that system would get thrown back west,

Again, it’s way, way, way, way too early to get too caught up in individual snow threats. However, I do expect several snow chances through December and expect the month to finish above the normal.

The GFS Ensembles continue to grow more confident in snow chances over the next 2 weeks…

Look at how far south the snow chance goes… That’s the power of arctic cold shots lined up over the next several weeks.

Let me say this… Some extreme options are on the table for December.

I will see you guys tonight for the normal update. Make it a good one and take care.


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11 Responses to Wednesday Evening Update

  1. Nasdaq says:

    Looking good today for snow lovers, Lets see where the models are in a few days. Also the potential re-curving typhoon, might be a player aswell.

  2. Jeff says:

    I’m trying not to get too excited…but even as a retired teacher I still like the thought of a snow say!

  3. Lotsasnow says:

    As usual the storms will likely draw some warm air into kentucky and be mostly rain/ freezing rain.Mark my words!!

  4. Cold Rain says:

    Yep.. Day 10/11 on the Gefs shows the northern and southern stream getting together for a party with a piece of energy coming out of Texas.. ..Like these phased systems if they work out..Can get some big snow storms if the timing is right..Still 10 days away so i’m sure things will change..Anyways the potential is there..Precip keeps inching up also in the longer range so that’s a plus..

  5. SpaceGhost says:

    Tony Cavalier this evening predicted that warm air over the
    Atlantic would play a major spoiler in pushing any snowfall
    this season to our west most likely. Hope not…

  6. Crystal In Pikeville says:

    Looks good Chris hope for snow with IT I will be reading the blog faithfully as always!

  7. Brandon Roberts says:

    Going to be interesting the next two weeks.

  8. jackson says:

    Hoping for a good snow or two in Pikeville.

    After last winter all of us snow lovers deserve a little fun this winter 🙂

    I’m hoping that my daughter gets to experience her first White Christmas, hopefully this will be the year. It looks like we have a chance this year.

  9. JJTeach says:

    I’m so excited I can’t stand it. Like, for real can’t contain myself. This has been a long time coming for us winter and snow lovers!

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