A Noisy End To February

Good Monday to one and all. February is slowly winding down and the month looks to go out on a rather noisy note. We have a heck of a storm system impacting much of the country over the next several days. This will bring a blizzard to the northern plains and should bring severe weather to parts of the Ohio and Tennessee River Valleys.

Let’s start out with some good news and that’s the weather we have out there today. Temps will make a run into the upper 50s and low 60s for many areas. Skies will be partly sunny and our winds will kick up  a bit.

Tuesday sees our weather becoming more active. Moisture will slowly increase from southwest to northeast as the big plains storm begins to take shape. Temps will really take off across the south and will slowly rise toward the low 60 in the north by late in the day. That’s also when some scattered storm action may begin to go up. Once it gets going… it may crank up the volume level even more into Wednesday.

Take a look at the storm action from the GFS…

- We will have the threat for strong or severe thunderstorms from Tuesday night into Wednesday.

- High winds will likely be with us regardless of how strong the storms get. Gusts to 40mph may be noted.

- The same run of the GFS shows the repeat shower and thunderstorm action putting down some very heavy rain totals…

As I said earlier… February isn’t going to go out quietly.

I will have another update later today, so check back. Have a great Monday and take care.


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11 Responses to A Noisy End To February

  1. ColeinMcCreary says:

    ThaNks Chris, It’s still hard to believe, 5 inches of snow and 2 days later 72 degrees.

  2. BlizzardTim says:

    LOL…as the blog loaded and the first glance at the first paragraph…my eyes pulled out the words BLIZZARD and OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLIES…LOL..

    I’ll take the spring weather at this point, im ready to get the gardening rolling….BUT, if the word BLIZZARD decided to pop up in our forecast, OF COURSE I WOULD LIKE THAT AS WELL….LOL..LOL..

    Chris…hope you’ve finally shaken off the flu bug…everyone have a great monday!!

  3. WXman says:

    Being square in the bulls-eye of the 30% severe zone on the Day 3 outlook is fairly significant. In lots of cases, that ends up turning into a Moderate Risk by the time Day 1 rolls around.

  4. Shawon says:

    At least a BLIZZARD WATCH is up for parts of South Dakota, North Dakota and Minnesota. I say if we can ‘t have winter, let somebody in the Lower 48 get it while they still can.

    My guess is we’ll see temps overachieve today. Already 57* in NKY at 11:00am. Think the predicted high was 58.

  5. Neil says:

    I can’t ever remember a winter around here in which there were more instances of thunderstorms than there were of snow falling from the sky! Guess I can’t say that anymore! #theyearwithoutawinter

    • Mark says:

      Only a few other winters have seen more severe wx than snow, such 1889-90. That winter, like this one, was during a La Niña cycle.

      For Lexington anyway, 1931-32 remains least snowiest.

  6. BubbaG says:

    Thankfully no more fiction based snow talk and now to the real stuff models have an easier time forecasting: Storms.

    Well, not thanking storms, but the models and their better suit :)

  7. Mark says:

    Tomorrow Feb 28 is first anniversary of the Henry County tornado, an EF3:
    http://www.crh.noaa.gov/lmk/?n=feb28_2011_tornadoes

    Very lucky no deaths, as this twister happened in darkness while most were asleep, and twister came from a squall line, two bad combinations. While supercells can produce stronger twisters, squall lines tornadoes are generally harder to detect on radar. There was an account of a Henry County husband-wife couple awakened by their wx alert alarm and they barely got from bed to the basement before most of their house disappeared.

    Fortunate this other couple escaped serious injury despite being caught in bed:
    http://www.wave3.com/story/14157980/eminence-couple-hides-under-bed-as-house-collapses

    Please have a good wx alert system, with battery back-up.

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