Good Thursday to one and all. A cold front is bringing a few showers to the state today, but this is nothing compared to what’s coming next week. Our much ballyhooed pattern change to winter is on the way, and the setup continues to advertise an extreme look across the country.
Before we get to the winter part of the program, let’s track a few showers from west to east…
Temps behind this front will only drop into the upper 40s and low 50s for Friday highs. That’s actually about normal for day one of December.
Milder air presses back in this weekend as we keep a partly sunny sky.
Let’s make sure to soak it up because a massive change blows in here early next week. A MAJOR blocking event is unfolding in the high latitudes into the North Pole. This will force arctic shots of air to dive into the country.
The front that gets the ball rolling moves in with showers and a few thunderstorms late Monday into Tuesday…
Temps spike deep into the 60s ahead of the front, then crash behind it, with the coldest air arriving on Wednesday. The GFS has some light snows brushing the region…
The European has the same system, but is just a little stronger with it…
That’s just the beginning of what may eventually become headline making cold across the country. Watch how these arctic shots just reload and come at us over the next two weeks…
It’s amazing to see how stable that extreme pattern becomes. These arctic cold shots will grow colder with each passing one, as we lay down a snowpack across the country.
Each of these shots may also be accompanied by snow chances around here. The GFS is off to the races with these snow systems from the northwest. The model has 2 different ones diving in here from next Friday through Sunday…
Here comes another a few days later…
And a few days after that…
I will have updates later today, so check back. Have a great day and take care.
I forgot what Chris’s analog years were. What were they?
Mark, I think Chris’s analog years were 2013-14 ? looks like on that last model a sure bet for a Nor’ Easter, which would leave us cold and dry. Hope we are not going to have a winter drought ? Not looking forward to the dry frigid cold and high heating bills. Hard on old people. I would like to see about eight inches of snow on Christmas Eve, but without the extreme cold. Wishful thinking.
Our chances for a White Christmas are looking better!
Thanks, Chris! Looking forward to more updates.
Looking forward to snow chances leading up to the Holidays. However the local forecasters in WV still aren’t seeing the cold. I guess maybe the cold is going to stop at the Big Sandy River.
I thought the common analog years were 2010 and 2013. I’ve been seeing those years pop up on analogs myself and I think that’s what he said as well. If I’m wrong I apologize, just trying to chip in.
Hopefully we won’t be nickled and dimed this season. I’m not looking forward to the more salt than snow possibilities
Time for an emergency 3 month trip to Florida, Southern Florida
Looks like light snow/flurries typical clipper systems. Festive flakes to put one in the Christmas spirit.
So what you’re saying is there’s a chance!
Our weather in recent years has turned na lot of hopeful people to. Negative nancies on here…hopefully a good snow will turn that frown upside down lol