Severe Weather Threat Ahead

Good Monday evening. A strong storm system across the plains states is likely to spawn severe thunderstorms across the Ohio Valley into the deep south over the next few days. This does include our region late Tuesday into Wednesday.

The first threat for strong or severe storms will be across western Kentucky as we head into late Tuesday afternoon and evening. This is the area the Storm Prediction will be watching…

That threat area will then shift farther eastward as we roll into Tuesday night and Wednesday…

Damaging winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes will be possible with these storms.

Have a great evening and take care.


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14 Responses to Severe Weather Threat Ahead

  1. Andy Rose says:

    Hopefully these storms will not show like last week 🙂 I’ve seen enough rain the last 2 days

  2. Mark says:

    I posted this in last thread, just when CB puts up a new one! However, I feel this is important enough to repeat.

    Tomorrow is first anniversary of Feb 28 2011 tornado in Henry County, an EF3:
    http://www.crh.noaa.gov/lmk/?n=feb28_2011_tornadoes

    Very lucky no deaths, as this twister happened in darkness, while most were sleeping, and twister came from a squall line; all bad combinations. While supercells can produce stronger twisters, squall lines tornadoes are generally harder to detect on radar and thus can have less warning time. There was an account of a Henry County husband-wife couple awakened by their wx alert alarm and barely getting from bed to the basement before most of their house disappeared.

    Lucky this other couple escaped serious injury despite being caught in bed:
    http://www.wave3.com/story/14157980/eminence-couple-hides-under-bed-as-house-collapses

    Please have a good wx alert system, with fresh battery as back-up. Even though eastern KY may have fewer twisters, wx alert radios warn of flash flooding as well.

  3. mitch says:

    Well an active period is ahead. Severe threats Wednesday and Friday night are ligit. I think the best chance Wednesday is southeast KY. I thought several forecasts for Monday were rather interesting and went about 10-15 degrees warmer than the CMC and EC models both of those models indicate rain and snow mix. I think the forecasts calling for highs near 60 and sunny Monday have a high bust risk. we’ll see.

  4. TeacherT says:

    Here is a little family story. My Mom was pregnant with me 58 years ago today. She stood in a short sleeve top (weather was so warm) and watched my Dad clean out a hedge row. That night when she went to the hospital (from Irvine to Lexington )there was a terrible storm. Mom told me that she will never forget how bad the lightning was. The late the next afternoon after I was born my Dad was bringing my grandmother back home and it was snowing so hard that my Dad would have to stop and brush the snow off of the windshield because the wipers couldn’t move it off. Talk about how quickly Kentucky weather changes!

  5. KeavyMan says:

    Will be in chat for the most part tomorrow through Wednesday! Come visit us at http://www.keavysroom.chatango.com/

    Tuesday February 28

    AR west – 3
    AR night – 3 to 4
    IL south night – 3
    IN southwest night – 3
    KS central, northeast – 3
    KS southeast – 4
    KY west night – 3
    MO southwest – 3
    MO central, south night – 3
    NE south-central, southeast – 3
    OK central – 3
    OK east – 4
    TN west night – 3
    TX north-central – 3
    TX northeast – 4
    Other areas – less than 2

    Wednesday February 29

    AL north – 3
    AR east, south – 3
    GA northwest – 3
    IN east, south – 3
    KY – 4
    LA north half – 3
    MI southeast – 3
    MS north, central – 3
    NC west – 3
    OH – 3
    PA west – 3
    TN – 4
    TX east-central – 3
    VA southwest – 3
    WV – 3
    Other areas – less than 2

    • KeavyMan says:

      Greg Forbes Tor-Con Index for Tuesday and Wednesday. Notice is W Ky is at a 3 for tomorrow night and all of Ky is at a 4 for Wednesday. Will be following the chasers in my chat. Come on over and visit with us.

  6. BubbaG says:

    I remember the good old days when the red area in the map above was the area for big snows- Not exactly the same thing here.

    • MarkLex says:

      Yes! Yuk!

      I mean, really? Late Feb and this is what? (the third) potential for severe weather? This entire winter has been depressing. I this will make the 3rd (top ten) least snowfall in a season since me moving here (in 1996) if it doesn’t snow anymore the rest of the season.

      I recall occasional severe weather in Feb but it’s usually much more south (like GA, Al, MS, FL), but this is like every week it is much more north.

      I love storms, but I love snow more. We always have PLENTY storms, but never enough snow.

      I read the NWS discussion in Minneapolis yesterday and I felt like I was reading a discussion that is similar to ours when we have a potential winter storm. They were saying “depends on the track” “sleet could cut down snow totals if the low moves more north” etc.

  7. Jessica says:

    Wow… looks like we are in the “bullseye” tomorrow! I would love to see some fantastic lightning but hail and tornadoes I can do without!

  8. Jessica says:

    Whoops! Meant we’re in it for Wednesday. Not tomorrow.

  9. F says:

    Marginal instability. Need better moisture return and it is just a slight risk. Very slight risk.

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