Christmas Eve Eve Update

Good evening, gang. Colder winds continue to blow across the bluegrass state on this Christmas Eve Eve. All eyes are on the big Christmas Eve forecast, with a light snowfall ready to accompany Santa into the bluegrass state.

I’m not going to spend a ton of time on all this, as we seem to have had everything covered for a while now. Let’s get a quick review of what the models are forecasting for snowfall.

The Hi-Res NAM has increased totals across the northern half of the state…

The GFS is also continuing to show a 1″–2″ swatch across north central and northern parts of the state…

Again, we are likely to see plenty of melting flakes during the afternoon hours, so I’m not fully biting on the extent of what the models are showing. Still, this is hard to ignore the potential for more than an inch showing up in pockets across northern Kentucky. Much of the state falls in the coating to 1″ range on the New Call For Snowfall…

A reminder that the lines are only to be used as a guideline. In forecast area, we will likely see some variance in the light snowfall totals. That’s the nature of light events. I will update that call later tonight.

Another light snow maker moves in by Tuesday, with additional systems arriving later this week and through the first of the new year.

The past several runs of the GFS Ensembles like the pattern…

The European Ensembles consist of 51 different members. Here’s the average of those models…

Merry Christmas Eve Eve and take care.


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15 Responses to Christmas Eve Eve Update

  1. Jim Hamm says:

    Christmas Eve Eve has been my favorite day of the year since I was a kid. Now 51 years old and it still is. I’m hoping for a little over-performance for Fleming Co. Maybe we can get some serious snow by the end of next week and get a few extra days for Christmas break.

  2. Linda in McCreary says:

    Merry Christmas Chris & all my fellow weather weenies!!

  3. BubbaG says:

    Wow, the 51 member average for snow follows OUTSIDE the border of Kentucky. Uncanny! “Snowy” around here seems destined for festiva’ flakes. Jerry Seinfeld would be proud 😉

  4. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. On the Christmas Eve Eve, I am really hoping for that present of a white Christmas! Doesn’t have to be a lot. Just enough to get the ground white will do. (Beggars can’t be choosers) 😉 looking forward to seeing to what it all looks like tomorrow! Have a great evening everyone!

  5. Joyce says:

    Merry Christmas everyone!

  6. marsha says:

    Chris I don’t comment no more but I wanted to wish you and your family a merry Christmas and a happy new year stay safe

  7. Jimbo says:

    Why am I not surprised that the models show a void over the Huntington/Ashland area for the Christmas Eve snow. Hope everyone has a Merry Christmas and gets some snow.

  8. Machell says:

    Merry Christmas and God bless to all!!!

  9. Paula T. Lewis Co. says:

    Hello Chris. I have not commented in a very long time but, I thought I would get on here and wish you and your family a Very Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year. And, to everyone else the same.

  10. Ned Stark says:

    I saw on Twitter that one of the other stations was using the infamous “dusting” terminology in their Christmas forecast. Someone must be new to the Lexington market.

  11. Lisa May says:

    Merry Christmas to you and your family!!

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