Good afternoon, everyone. I’m dropping by for a quick update on the late week winter storm potential. The wild looking setup hasn’t changed at all, with a huge temperature swing leading us into an Ohio Valley winter storm. Now, it’s all about figuring out where the low tracks and who gets the biggest impact.

I can say this, the setup looks more potent today than it did yesterday, with the potential for this low to strengthen just a little more. That means wind will also become more of a player.

The GFS continues to put down ice and snow across much of the bluegrass state…

The Canadian…

You can clearly see both models taking the track I outlined last night, from east Tennessee to West Virginia. That is usually a good track for a swath of heavy snow across our region. That fits with the outline I put out last night…

Some thoughts:

  • I have not upgraded to a Winter Storm THREAT because I want to see the afternoon runs, especially the European Model.
  • This WILL be upgraded, but I want to specifically target the main areas of concern when I do. Right now, it would be pretty general.
  • The prime time for this system to impact our weather will be from Friday afternoon into early Saturday.
  • Winds will become a player with this system, with gusts reaching 25-30mph at times.
  • Another system comes in behind this one by early next week. That may be another snow maker.

I’m off work today, so I may not follow my normal updating times. You may get a few more updates before the day is finished.

Make it a good one and take care.