A Milder and More Active Pattern

Good Friday, everyone. Our bitterly cold pattern is now a thing of the past, and it’s full steam ahead into a much milder setup for the rest of January. It’s also a setup that looks very active, with large storm systems rolling across the country.

In the short-term, highs today reach the mid to upper 30s for many with mostly sunny skies doing their thing.

The weekend weather will feel better, but won’t look as pretty as what’s out there today. Clouds will increase Saturday as a shower or two develops. Temps are generally in the low and middle 40s.

A strong storm system works across the plain Sunday into Monday, dragging a cold front across Kentucky. Ahead of this, temps hit the 50s with an increase in rain…

Temps behind the cold front drop into the upper 30s by Tuesday, with just a small chance for a few flakes to fly.

Temps rebound quickly after that, with another big storm system rolling our way late next week into the following weekend.

If we look down the road, we find an interesting pattern taking shape. The CFS is showing the mild rest of January…

That carries over into the first few days of February, but the same model shows the cold taking control for the month overall…

This also looks like a VERY active pattern setting up for the rest of winter. The CFS total precipitation over the next 45 days shows the heaviest amounts right into the bluegrass state…

A lot of that will be from rain, but the snow potential for the second half of winter appears to be greater than I first thought.

I will throw you another update later today. Have a great Friday and take care.


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13 Responses to A Milder and More Active Pattern

  1. BubbaG says:

    Looking forward to the thawing 🙂

  2. Rodger in Dodger says:

    Bring on the warmth but Rodger will be ready for more snowy mischief by February. Rodger in Dodger

  3. Schroeder says:

    Thanks Chris, We still have about five inches of snow on the ground, and presently a temperature of seventeen degrees. Most of the snow was lost through a process of sublimation, because yesterdays high here was twenty eight degrees. today will take to melting, but there will be a lot laying around through this weekend till it rains along with the mild temperatures coming. On another interesting weather feature I discovered, that the mild weather coming up is the high pressure system in the southwest is pulling warmer air into the Ohio River valley and this warm air is being mixed in with Arctic air from Siberia, which would cause very cold air aloft, as a result, that process may cause the formation of large storm systems in the coming weeks ahead.

    • Prelude says:

      Schroeder this is a fun weather blog not a detail scientific episode of the tv show The Big Bang Theory. What you just posted is way beyond me.

      • Schroeder says:

        Thanks Prelude, for reading my post. I agree with you on my post. It is a little long winded and I could have said the statement in fewer words like the following: The snow is melting, temperature is rising, and the rain will wash what snow is left away. Big time storms are on the way in the next few weeks, due to a large temperature contrast. The end.

    • Jamie says:

      …and so, the battle of seasons begins.

      I know it’s only January, but I say, bring on Spring!

  4. TennMark says:

    Interesting footage of an apparent “snow devil” in Austria:
    http://twitter.com/clas-smeteo/status/953626281563869185

    [folks, the KWC automod seems to delete the entire post because of what it perceives to be a “bad” word in the URL, so you will need to manually remove the dash and repost the URL] 🙁

    The comments were somewhat divided if it was a “snow devil” (equivalent of a dust devil) or a “snow spout” (like a “land spout” which is similar to a “fair weather waterspout”). Seems it could be a rather large snow devil as a very few dust devils do get relatively large and tall, and you can see debris being drawn up this funnel. Hard to tell if the clouds above are causing enough updraft to make it a snow spout (I understand only a few rare winter water spouts have been documented in the world, including over the Great Lakes). Comment invited, especially from experts!

    I’m unaware of a true tornado happening in such cold conditions.

    • TennMark says:

      Interesting, the URL works anyway even with the dash.

      It’s just that the link could not be posted on KWC without the dash.

  5. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. Won’t complain about a little warmer weather. Will let my heat pump rest a little bit anyway! If we could get it without so much rain it would be even better! But, we will get what we get and enjoy that too. I wish everyone a wonderful Friday!

  6. B H says:

    Pot holes in the roads are really going to be bad after this thaw.

  7. BengalFan says:

    Well, if its going to happen “A January Thaw”, then I hope in Mid March we have a “March Thaw”. Because I want to see more snow this winter..here is hoping for snow in Feb and March!!

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