Another Light Snow Maker Tonight

Good Super Bowl Sunday, everybody. The forecast continues to play out as we’ve talked about, with our morning snows going over to rain, and another round of light snow tonight. This can put down additional light accumulations, causing some travel issues.

It’s a system coming in from the west-northwest and is carrying some very cold air with it. Light snow develops this evening and continues into early Monday across the east. With temps dropping into the teens, slick roads may develop.

Widespread coatings to an inch will be possible. Here’s the Hi Res NAM…

The GFS…

Regional radar will help you track this into Kentucky…

Another light snow maker brushes the state Monday night, especially in the north. A much stronger system then targets us late Tuesday into early Wednesday. This will bring a swath of rain, freezing rain and snow across the Commonwealth…

GFS

Canadian…

We are walking a very fine line with temperatures on this one, with a degree or two being the difference between heavy rain and significant freezing rain.

I’ll update this evening. Enjoy the afternoon and take care.


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51 Responses to Another Light Snow Maker Tonight

  1. Skiwee says:

    It’s always been said that of you want snow in our area, we need a low to track south. Both models show a low cutting through the southern apps then through NC. Why does it continue to rain? Does the low need to be in Alabama?

  2. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. Hope to see some snow before winter is over. But if not we’ll then, bring on warmer temps!

  3. Josh m says:

    100 percent rain Tuesday into Wednesday! If it snows in ashland 1/2 inch I will eat my wife’s cooking for a solid week without complaining!!

  4. Mike says:

    Snow? Perhaps we got dumped on in Richmond before I woke up and then the rain washed it all away? I only saw the lightest dusting this morning as it was raining…

    There is always the next one…

  5. Troy says:

    Am I the only one who would just like to see two or three days in a row of sunny skies and 50’s or even 60’s like we had last winter? Even the snowy Midwest and Northeast has sunshine between storms. We’ve had 1/2 day of sun in the past 3 weeks here. UGH!

  6. MarkS says:

    Rain Tuesday/Wednesday is the consensus across the board with all mets….takes the suspense out of it….come on spring type weather

    • Chris Bailey says:

      I assure you that is not the case.

      • which way is the wind blowing says:

        The NAM has been consistent with a decent snowfall north of i-64.

      • BengalFan says:

        What do u think will happen…more specific…chance of rain for Richmond ky?

      • Schroeder says:

        Chris, This looks like a significant snowstorm for Kentucky. A lot of Gulf moisture, and with cold air aloft, sure bet for all snow. I hope this one pans out, and I think it will happen.

        • Schroeder says:

          This storm coming is the best chance for a major snow I have seen all winter. Everything is coming together with the positive southern branch and the very negative northern branch colliding over southern Arkansas and forecast to move through the Tennessee Valley.

          • Schroeder says:

            Freezing rain is usually an overrunning event, where the cold air is in place and a warm front to the south is stationary. This storm is different with a lot of cold air aloft, which transfers to a snow event.

          • TeacherMomOf2 says:

            Does that mean northeast Tennessee might get some action other than rain?

  7. TW Allen says:

    Need that bad boy to keep on moving through the Tennessee Valley and we are in business! I live 9 miles north of Louisville and like where I’m sitting at the moment to get a good snow. Have just shy of 6 inches this season and would LOVE to get to that total with this system.

  8. bobt says:

    Can’t wait for the gloomy days to give way to some sunshine. It’s been a uneventful winter for the most part. Some decent looking chances a week (or even 2 days out) only to see very little snow for much of the state. Looking forward to seeing some 50+ degree highs.

  9. Lotsasnow says:

    Well local Mets here say freezing rain a good bet

  10. Bob says:

    Looks like a healthy snow band coming into Ky. From the NW on the radar.

  11. Jimmie says:

    12z Canadian model has central and northern KY getting between 1/2″ and 1″ of ice Wednesday. 12z GFS has those areas getting between 1/4″ and 1/2″. I hate it when they’re in that kind of agreement. Yuck.

    • BubbaG says:

      Ice is usually correct. North of Kentucky river is the usual smack zone, but it has gone further south before. Hopefully nobody gets it, whatever the case. Models as usually good with ice and rain- just not the fluffy white stuff.

      • AC says:

        You don’t want that run of the Canadian to pan out. That’s a crippling ice storm for areas from Louisville through Lex and towards Louisa.

        Better off with rain or snow.

        • AC says:

          Canadian may be wrong. It might not be. We can’t say it’s wrong just because we don’t want it to be right. That’s not how it works.

          It concerns me because it’s showing so much ice—and it’s not like the NAM which has a tendency to overestimate precipitation amounts. I think the liquid QPF coming from the Canadian is pretty accurate. The question is, how accurate are its thermal profiles for this timeframe.

  12. Andy Rose says:

    My snow was rain all rain and looks like the next few systems will be the same if taking the models verbatim.

  13. Optimistic Ollie says:

    Not so much a comment, as an observation, but WHY do you so avidly follow a blog for weather, only to bash the author every day?

    For real though… have you nothing better to do with your time? If your opinions are so adverse, maybe take to writing your own blog. It just annoys me to see Mr. Bailey take so much time out to do this only to be torn down by a bunch of bad attitude wannabes.

  14. SHAAK says:

    Another non-event

    • Schroeder says:

      Please study the maps and you will change your mind.

      • SHAAK says:

        Everything is north of KY according to the models.

        • AC says:

          It looks like we’re going to have to teach some people here a lesson between the difference of what the models show and what is actually happening….and *not* during a nowcast situation, which seems to be what happens whenever exceedingly bad weather hits here…because nobody can bring themselves to believe any really bad weather is possible. Especially in the winter. You cannot rely on the models 100% of the time. Might not be the case with this storm, but they are not bulletproof.

    • Andy Rose says:

      Rain is an event as well

  15. Hunter Scalf says:

    Just cloudy and drizzling in Crittenden. Hoping for snow later tonight!!

  16. B H says:

    We got light to moderate snow this morning here in Southern Ohio. Enough to have the snow plows out. It did warm up and melt a lot of it.
    I’d say we got 2 inches total. Never did get below freezing. Melted some as it hit the ground. Very pretty though. Stuck to all the trees.

  17. Matt says:

    I see flood watches in our future here in southeast ky..

  18. Bjenks says:

    This is a typical fence event with a NW trend all over it. Going to be rain for most of the state with a small Ohio River corridor in freezing rain and sleet. Snow for southern IN. Hope I am wrong and we all get snow, but I just don’t see it.

  19. Formerly from KY says:

    As always with these southern storms it’s a battle between the cold and warm air and where that line sets up.

  20. Rachel says:

    I keep watching that beautiful line of snow moving towards us from the west and I just know it’s going to hit that Kentucky border where we’re currently sitting at 40 degrees and just disappear into nothingness. Blah.

  21. Formerly from KY says:

    Hello

  22. Formerly from KY says:

    Flooding rain look possible somewhere in Kentucky with Wednesday storm.

  23. Andy Rose says:

    I like how the snow shield is eroding as it moves east.

  24. Andy Rose says:

    Nope just like I was expecting nothing but rain this morning

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