Good Tuesday, everyone. We are starting our day with a touch of light snow, but the main show arrives this evening into Wednesday. This storm will bring heavy rain, ice and some snow to the bluegrass state. This can cause some issues in our part of the world.

Here’s a breakdown:

  • Our wintry mix increases from southwest to northeast this evening.
  • That action becomes heavy overnight and into Wednesday morning.
  • An extended period of freezing rain may develop from western Kentucky through the bluegrass region to northeastern Kentucky. Ice accumulation may be from .10″ to as much as .50″ in a few areas.
  • Any area getting more than .25″ of freezing rain can see some decent issues develop.
  • Some snow is also possible in the freezing rain areas, especially early Wednesday.
  • Heavy rainfall totals of 1″-2.5″ will be possible across southern and eastern Kentucky. Local high water issues may develop.

Here’s a look at my current thinking on the main impacts…

The new European Model is very similar with the corridor of freezing rain…

You can see all this playing out on the GFS from this evening through Wednesday afternoon…

Here are the models showing how much liquid precipitation falls from this system…

GFS

NAM

I will have updates later today, so check back. Until then, here’s regional radar to track the very light snow in the north and northeast this morning…

Have a good one and take care.