Ugly Weather For The Weekend

Good Thursday, gang. We have some nice weather moving into the Commonwealth today and will take us through Friday. Let’s make sure to enjoy that, because another storm system is on the way for the weekend. That may bring additional hefty rain totals our way

Our day may start with some early morning flakes across central and eastern Kentucky, but should end on a brighter note. Temps will hit the upper 30s and low 40s with a mix of sun and clouds.

Friday looks even better with highs deep into the 50s, with the potential for a 60. Skies will stay partly cloudy with a gusty southwesterly wind kicking in. This is ahead of our weekend system, arriving from the southwest late Friday night.

Rain will arrive and kick into high gear for Saturday. Locally heavy downpours are possible across the south and east. The NAM only goes through Saturday night, but is showing a general 1″-2.5″…

If we expand the time period to go through Sunday, we see the Canadian Model with some 3″ amounts showing up…

Another flood threat may be with us this weekend!

The Canadian shows a very active setup through next week, with additional systems lining up. You will also notice the potential for some mix late Sunday, with a better winter chance later next week…

Check out the freezing rain setup on that run from Sunday through early next week…

I will hook you up with another update later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.


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58 Responses to Ugly Weather For The Weekend

  1. Ruth says:

    All this rain…

    Chris, are there any signs of winter weather (preferably a snow storm, but even a few inches would be fine) or a Vortex visit before the month is over? I had heard this month was supposed to be very cold and snowy.

  2. Formerly from KY says:

    Chris said in his winter outlook back in November that winter would start out cold but would end warmer and stormier. And the way it looks that is happening. Chris works hard and this year’s winter outlook looks right on schedule. My Air Force Weather Officer buddy said that the chance of snow for the second half winter our slim to none that warmer condition are going to prevail.

    • Bobt says:

      Hope the guy is right. I really don’t mind any snows after mid February as most of those are only going to lay on the ground a few days. It wouldn’t hurt my feelings if we just keep it in the 50s from here on out. Let the transition to spring begin. Hopefully the Admiral won’t try to police this post.

    • B H says:

      Accuweather just posted there spring forecast, They said the Northeast would remain cold through April with occasional warm ups. Tennessee area would be stormy early. And the south would get warmer with possible drought in Florida.

    • Andy Rose says:

      Chris has since backed off on that statement.

      • B H says:

        Yes I hope Chris is right and we get warmer as the weeks go by and dry up some.

        • Andy Rose says:

          Warmer and drier would make Chris wrong not right.

          • Admiral Ackbar says:

            This is hilarious stuff.

          • B H says:

            Let me say this. Some on here thinks Chris is never wrong. Well I know he has been a few times. But when he is wrong there a few that draw there swords out if you go against the flow. Like blood is thicker than water the way they see it. There is no man right all the time. He’s not God he is a weather man. No he said it would be warmer in the latter part of winter. I said I hope it dries up some not Chris. I know what he said. I read his blog every day since he left Huntington West Virginia. I followed him every since then. I just never commented early on..

    • Admiral Ackbar says:

      Thank the maker for global warming. I would not mind if Kentucky turned into a tropical zone year round. Cold weather is for the birds. Wait a minute…that idiom, unfortunately, does not really work in this situation.

  3. Ruth says:

    A few weeks ago, Chris said the first couple weeks of February was going to have arctic air and snow for a prolonged period. Obviously, something has changed. I’m not blaming him. I understand how unpredictable Mother Nature can be. I’m hoping its just been postponed or something.

    • Admiral Ackbar says:

      Yes, obviously something has changed. The tilt of the Earth’s axis as it revolves around the sun, the uneven heating patterns on the surface of the Earth, the air streams and pressure differentials have created a fluid space that can be somewhat unpredictable, and the air density around the North American region has caused unexpected weather conditions to prevail. The true key to your entire post is “A few weeks ago, Chris said…” as if what he says is gospel one month from the time in which he speaks about while we live in an era where it is difficult to predict storm behavior 12 hours out from a system. Yes. Something has “obviously” changed.

      • Jamie says:

        har har. Sarcasm aside… Something did change in the atmosphere that prevented the Polar Vortex around Hudson Bay in Canada from coming south as far as the models thought it would a few weeks ago. So first two weeks of February end up exceptionally ordinary instead of Arctic in nature.

      • Ralph says:

        Thanks Schroeder.

  4. Snowqueen says:

    I hope there is enough gas in the tank to throw a good snow storm our way.

  5. Schroeder says:

    Thanks Chris, I will enjoy the sunshine today and the warmer temperatures tomorrow. We will have to wait and see if rain returns this weekend. Have a nice day.

  6. Tim says:

    I’d figure u would get bored of this place and visit a higher traffic forums by now, but your hanging tuff ackbar

  7. Barney says:

    The cold weather pattern for early Feb didn’t pan out, YAY!!

  8. ispy says:

    chris should disable comments on this site. too much BS for this to be of any educational benefit. anyone who wants to show their IQ is lower than a cold day temp, should move on to topix, much like this comment section, its full of know-it-alls who know nothing.

    • Admiral Ackbar says:

      You are disagreeing with the science pertaining with the tilt of the Earth’s axis as it revolves around the sun, the uneven heating patterns on the surface of the Earth, the air streams and pressure differentials that have created a fluid space that can be somewhat unpredictable, and the air density around the North American region that has caused unexpected weather conditions to prevail? It is not about being a “know it all”, but has more to do with understanding that weather and climate are specifically determined by factors based in biology, chemistry, physics, and geology. None of what I have said is wrong, and even Chris would gladly explain that getting a degree in meteorology takes considerable preparation in those areas of science that have been listed. Know it all? Nah, I do not know anywhere near as much as the great minds before me, but I know enough not to dismiss the scientific principles pertaining to Earth’s place in the universe.

  9. Bjenks says:

    The indices are right in line for some blocking to set up. Winter is far from over and I still think Louisville will hit its mark of 12+ inches of snow before winter is over. May even see that from one freak storm. Until then enjoy the normal temps and cold rain. Thanks for all you do CB.

    • Debbie says:

      Yep-looks like it’s going to tank after Valentine’s Day until early next month, at least. Everything looks to be in order for a stormy last half of Feb., and I, too, wouldn’t be surprised if we get a couple of good App runners. I’m not giving up on winter just yet-for all any of us know, it might just be the beginning for us snowbirds!

      • Bobt says:

        My favorite snows happen after mid-February. Average temps get to the point to where a snow is just not going to lay that long. After a few days snow gets to look like a muddy mess unless other snows fall on top of it. Just as soon look at it for two days and let the sun melt it away quickly.

  10. Not sure exactly what CB is seeing when he says, “…with a better winter chance later next week.” Still haven’t made my annual KY snowchase this year. Hoping something gives before spring arrives.

  11. c-BIV says:

    These posts the past couple weeks are like the movie Groundhog Day, only in reverse. Rinse, cycle, repeat. This winter is full of zzz’s.

    • Yeah, apart a brief stretch in mid-January, it’s been a winter to forget. Early on, it was too much suppression/upper level convergence…now it’s too much pac-domination. Sure, we’ll see what this SSWE can do, but the window of opportunity has been below normal this winter. For those who scored big with Hunter and/or Inga, count your blessings.

    • BubbaG says:

      If we get a big snow event, it will be a few days before like the previous big systems This week out stuff is always wrong and even the cold air outlook has been wrong lately.

      My bets are on area north and NE of us- just as they have been all winter. Well, the south has gotten two big events as well. Okay- anywhere but Kentucky 😉 Not really joking- at least for this winter.

  12. Schroeder says:

    Great comments from Admiral Ackbar. I like great weather discussion and I wish I could participate. My post are being blocked, ( the ones that are written in detail. ) For some reason I’m on a short leach when it comes to serious weather discussion. I don’t see any point continuing as a commentator, if all of my comments posted are simply nothing. I will just have to read and learn from you Admiral. Pay no attention to all the negativity on this forum.

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