Good Friday to one and all. It’s an absolutely gorgeous day out there, with some sunshine and temps on the mild side. This won’t last very long, as a big rain event targets parts of Kentucky over the weekend. This may set the stage for some local high water issues to develop. There’s also a window for a touch of winter weather to end the weekend.

Before we get to all that, the January temperature numbers are in and it was the 22nd coldest January on record for Kentucky…

That database goes back to 1895. Considering we had a few very mild days in here, that’s pretty incredible. That cold comes right after a slightly colder than normal December.

The first 8 days of February have also been much colder than normal in Kentucky…

Moral of the story… this winter is going to average colder than normal.

Today is not among the colder than normal days, with highs reaching deep into the 50s to near 60. Clouds will increase and winds will gusty up ahead of our weekend system.

A cold front moves in and slows down, allowing two waves of low pressure to work along it. The first moves in Saturday into Saturday night, with heavy rain the primary player. The next wave late Sunday into Monday may have a more wintry side to it.

Here’s how the NAM sees things through Monday morning…

The heavy rain with this run is much broader and farther north and west than earlier runs. Here’s the forecast through Monday morning…

That would bring the flood threat into much of central and eastern Kentucky.

The new GFS is also broader and trending north and west…

Given all that, I’ve expanded the greatest risk for high water…

The second wave of low pressure developing later Sunday into early Monday has more of a wintry aspect to it. Here’s the freezing rain forecast from the NAM…

Here’s the same look from the GFS…

Snow on the NAM…

Snow on the GFS…

I will hook you up with updates later today, so check back.

Make it a good one and take care.