Updating The Weekend Flood Threat

Good afternoon, folks. It’s a mild and breezy day across Kentucky, but the focus is on the deluge coming our way this weekend. Heavy rains are likely to lead to, at least, some local high water issues.

A Flood Watch is now out for a large chink of real estate…

That matches the greatest risk area I put out on Thursday…

A general 2″-4″ rainfall is likely for the greatest risk area, with locally higher amounts possible. The NAM has some 5″+ pockets showing up…

As usual, the GFS is farther south and east with the heaviest totals…

Regardless, flooding and flash flooding are possible across the region over the next few days. If you live in a low-lying or flood prone area, stay alert.

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm. Another update will then come your way this evening.

Make it a good one and take care.

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54 Responses to Updating The Weekend Flood Threat

  1. Andy Rose says:

    Flood WARNINGS already being issued

  2. Farmer 43 says:

    Here’s a thought if we could buy admiral for what he’s worth and sell him for what he thinks he’s worth we could all retire which apparently he is because that’s all he does all day is stay on here and make goofy comments

    • Bobt says:

      Hopefully CB puts an end to it soon. He will be the death of this blog if it goes uncontrolled. I’ve been following the blog for many years and his rhetoric is more annoying than anyone that has posted here.

      • Admiral Ackbar says:

        It is fine if everyone wants to talk about “hoping for snow” and “praying for the big one”, but I do attempt to discuss the scientific factors pertaining to Chris’ models while taking up for Christ whenever models break down due to complex nature of the Earth’s atmospheric conditions. I think there is room for “faith-based” conversations, scientific conversations, and conversations that appreciate the work that Chris does on this blog on a daily basis.

      • LeeAnnie says:


    • Admiral Ackbar says:

      Goofy comments? How is discussing the axis of the Earth, temperature gradients, pressure differences, and air streams goofy? Also, the goofiest comment I have read in a long time suggests that you could “sell a human” like we live back in 1860. Come on, now.

  3. Matt says:

    Wow, that’s a huge difference in the models.. It’s not just snow that they can’t agree on..

    • Admiral Ackbar says:

      It seems like the models have all struggled with pin-pointing the exact nature of systems involving moisture when it comes to states around 37 degrees North-Lattitude. It seems that Kentucky and other states along this line are in the sweet spot for gulf air and Canadian air. This is just another reason why Kentucky is so unique.

      • Bjenks says:

        It is the Ohio River that causes all the issues with our weather here in Kentucky.

        • Admiral Ackbar says:

          The fact that water has a higher specific heat than air makes it a major factor in maintaining a constant temperature within the air surrounding the water. Since the water takes more energy to heat up and releases heat slower than the surrounding air, the unequal temperature difference that exists in the region between the water and the air can affect the behavior of weather patterns to a noticeable degree. Bjenks, thank you for pointing out how these bodies of water can have a major affect on the weather.

  4. jackson says:

    The rivers and streams are already pretty high here in far East Kentucky, and the ground is saturated. If we get 2-5 inches more rain there will definitely be some isolated flooding issues.

    • Admiral Ackbar says:

      I do hope that everyone out in Eastern Kentucky remains safe by appreciating the dangers of overflooded creeks, streams, and rivers. Even more importantly, be careful around high elevations as rock and mudslides could occur with such a great amount of rain that is to be falling around the Appalachian mountain range. Honestly, it could get pretty hairy out around Carter County and Ashland. It will all turn out well, though. Just be aware of the dangerous that come with heavy rains.

      • Schroeder says:

        Admiral, Don’t pay any attention to the hostiles on this blog. They can’t help it. They have to insult someone because they didn’t get the weather they wanted. It happen to me when I got one forecast right and Chris Bailey didn’t.

        • Admiral Ackbar says:

          Why do you keep commenting on my posts as if you are trying to give me life advice on how to post on an internet message board? When you do this, it just makes everyone think that we are the same person. I honestly do not need your approval, nor do I need to take any tips from you. I have nothing against you, but you always show up to “remind me” that I do not need to worry about the other people who comment on this blog. It is almost as if you want people to think that we are the same person since you are envious of my vocabulary, the way in which I speak, and the manner in which I conduct myself when talking about the science of weather related phenomena. Schroeder, you do you, and let me do me. We are not “friends” or “buddies”, but I will still remain professional, cordial, and respectful to you on this blog even though it seems like you have lost all respect with everyone else on this blog, which is sad on their part. I have no idea what you did, but they do dislike you. Oh, well. Carry on and cheers.

          • Schroeder says:

            No, I’m leaving this blog as far as comments go. I will let you take over as I respect people who have an education in discussing meteorology. Carry on Admiral.

            • Admiral Ackbar says:

              Ok, you have said this for the third time. You may stay or go, but you keep stating that you are finished commenting and then you come back for more comments. If you enjoy commenting on this blog, talking about the weather, and communicating with others, then please stay; I think everyone needs to become more active on this blog so that we can have fun, lively discussion. However, if you want to leave, no one is stopping you. Chris will be here regardless, I will be here regardless, and many other users will be here regardless of what you end up doing.

              • Schroeder says:

                No, I decided to leave the comment section. I’m getting tired of it. It will be hard because it is very addictive. But as you said everyone including Chris doesn’t want me on here. I’ve been on this blog for a year now and it’s been fun conversing about the weather. Take care, and good luck with your posting. I decided not to read Chris’s the blog any more and I am taking it off my bookmark. As with all meteorologist a lot of the blogs are sensationalized.

        • Prelude says:

          Quit with the lies Schroeder you have yet to get any and I do mean ANY forecast right!

          • Schroeder says:

            Go right ahead Prelude and pick on the weak. Why aren’t you commenting on Ackbar ? I think he has the best comments on this blog. Interesting and educational. Also Prelude you are the RUDEST person I have ever encountered ever!!!

  5. MikeM says:

    Is it just me or is it worse than fingernails on a chalkboard?

    • Admiral Ackbar says:

      An actual discussion of science on a weather related blog? Hey, Chris, from now on, your blog posts just need to say, “It gon’ snow!” or “It ain’t gon’ snow!” and just leave it at that. If you are referring to the actual dangers related to flooding rather than another user attempting to attack my comments, I do agree that the dangers of flooding are much worse than nails on a chalk board. Flooding is life threatening, and nails on a chalkboard are just annoying.

  6. Jeff Hamlin says:

    I think I shall go out to my garage and smoke a cigar. 😉

  7. Schroeder says:

    I don’t have to worry about flash flooding as I live on top of a large ridge in central Kentucky. The soil around here does not have any hard pan, therefore drains very well. To all of you who live in a flood prong area, I suggest you check your home owners insurance to see if it includes this peril. I wouldn’t worry though, it is just a watch and probably wont happen.

  8. Cold Rain says:

    Getting to be downright scary reading this blog..Hard to believe Chris has let this nonsense go on..Needing a Moderator badly..

    • Admiral Ackbar says:

      What is honestly the issue? I have talked more about weather and science than anyone in this entire comment section.

  9. Virgil says:


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