Good Sunday, folks. Flooding continues to be a big issue across parts of southern and eastern Kentucky as we get ready to wrap up the weekend. As this is happening, Old Man Winter throws a little shot our way through early on Monday.
Rounds of heavy rain continue to fall across the southern and southeastern parts of the state. This is fall on top of a waterlogged ground from the Saturday rains.
Flooding is a serious issue on many creeks and streams, and along areas of the Cumberland and Kentucky Rivers. A state of emergency has been declared in Harlan County. Please stay safe, folks.
Temps are crashing from northwest to southeast today, leading to some winter weather. Light freezing rain is trying to show up in the west and north, but the main action may show up tonight and early Monday. That’s when another wave of low pressure develops on our front, leading to a swath of light freezing rain and light snow…
Freezing Rain
Snow
Some slick travel may develop in time for the Monday morning commute.
A few showers will linger into Tuesday and Wednesday, before we track another potent system by late week. While this may have a wintry aspect behind it, we are going to need to watch for the possibility of another big rain event…
The overall pattern keeps a very active storm track going in our region. The Canadian 10 day Precipitation totals are way up there…
The GFS is also VERY active over the next 2 weeks…
Let’s get back to today’s weather. I have you all set to do some tracking…
Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington
Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
Downtown Lexington
I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington
US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
Winchester
I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
Louisville
Bardstown
I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead
Mountain Parkway near Slade
I-75 at MP 23
Corbin
Jenkins
Pine Mountain
Louie B Nunn MP 3
Near Glasgow
Natcher Parkway MP 5
Near Bowling Green
I will update things again later today, so check back. Have a great Sunday and take care.
I eagerly await more updates of rain totals around the state of Kentucky. This monster system will be moving out of our area soon, but not before it leaves its mark. What a breathtaking system. Absolutely breathtaking.
That stationary high pressure to our east is now beginning to push back into the Atlantic Ocean. This action will allow the heavy precipitation to slowly come to an end. Chris brought up the cold front may hang up and develop a low pressure system and move into the area. The models he shows on this system tend to be weak or will it ?. I have seen forecast like this before and end up with a major weather event, maybe a snow or ice event ?
The flooding in the Cumberland mountain areas is primarily due to an up slope occurrence. Here in northern Taylor county we have received up to 2.88 inches of rain, but it is about to come to an end as high pressure moves in from the west.
I heard on the weather news out of California, that ENSO La nina is beginning to slowly transfer to ENSO- neutral phase. This same weather action took place last year. Does this mean we are heading into a similar spring as we had last year ?
Something is missing in our current weather pattern, lighting and thunder. It has been at lease a year since we have had a good old fashion thunderstorm. Could this be due to the lack of sun spots ? The less sun spots the colder the atmosphere. Makes sense.
#teamSpring
#Hashtag
After letting up for a few hours, the rain is coming down heavy again. Almost four inches now on the rain gauge, and it will be interesting to see how high the river is in the morning.
My prayers go out to everyone back home in Eastern and Southern Kentucky. And for a quick recovery. Everybody down home stay safe.
On this day in 1994 was one of the more destructive ice storms on record for parts of Kentucky (including Bowling Green), Tennessee (including Memphis and Nashville), Mississippi. My future wife growing up in Bowling Green experienced the nasty effects of the 94 event with power being out for days and tree damage that took weeks to clean up. It reportedly took nearly a month to restore power in some areas of rural Mississippi.
Based on other big ice and snow events, it’s likely that a wave of “ice babies” came into the world nine months later. 😛
Area NWS offices are gearing up for the spring severe wx season by offering Skywarn storm spotter training c-l-a-s-s-e-s. This now includes NWS Louisville and NWS Nashville (NWS Paducah updated their Skywarn page earlier with 2018 information).
http://www.weather.gov/lmk/skywarn
http://www.weather.gov/ohx/skywarn
Spotters form a vital cog in the ability of the NWS to issue warnings and thus save lives, not just for tornadoes but for other weather hazards like flash flooding. One can even report snowfall totals to the NWS.
Contact your nearest NWS office to learn about becoming a spotter.
4.32 this morning for the total. Do to a lull in the precip rate for a while last, the Cumberland River has actually receded a bit, but it is raining hard again. Thankfully, it appears the steady rain shield should start to break up some in a few more hours or so.
Mesonet site in Harlan up around 4000 ft has now registered almost 8″ of precipitation for the month. I have a bad feeling there will be mudslides affecting property and travel in several parts of the southeast if this keeps up.
The last 31 days i have had 7.85 inches of rain.
Yes! At my house which is near Harlan in the valley about 25 miles away, i have still recorded nearly 7 inches in only 11 days. It could easily be a double digit rainfall month for many, at least in the SE KY and neighboring states.
Your river water is coming down to me. STOP IT TERRY. 😉
I know….It will probably be mid-week or longer before the Cumberland crests down towards Williamsburg and into middle TN, that is not even considering more rain systems to affect the drainage inflow! Hopefully, the river will crest in your area by late Monday/early Tuesday.
3.43 and counting
It’s another depressing day.
I hope we can see some sunlight this week.
Seems the snow chances are about done. Even the week out one went from winter to more a big rain event in CB’s post.
I’m thinking that also. Surprise storms happen in March and April but as far as big storms with snowpack that lasts for days, not going to happen this year.
I prefer the March and April snows. Can get a whopper of a storm and there be no sign of it two days later. Much better than looking at dirty snow for a week. Only about two weeks of meteorological winter left. Much better weather ahead if we could ever get this rain out of here.
Prayers for folks in Harlan Co. and other areas dealing with flooding. Stay safe everyone.
Goodbye winter. Rodger in Dodger
Yes a winter that had great potential but failed to execute.
Just like UK basketball.
Can you say NIT.
Some people are hoping for a late season miracle snowfall.
And some people are hoping that the basketball team will perform a late season miracle.
If we lose the Auburn game (very likely), the NIT becomes a big possibility. Seems a lock if Alabama is a loss next (also likely). Only path then would be winning SEC tournament (not likely). Nice kids, just not very good basketball IQ or floor leadership.
I have to admit, I will still follow amd even be a bit excited to see a March or even a rare April snowstorm as I am a weather geek through and through, but I prefer to move on to Spring than deal with a one or two day snow that will melt off at the blink of the eyes. I am in spring mode by March myself but weather will do what it wants;)
My total is 4.64 after the steady rain moved out but should go a bit higher do to convective showers, and maybe, a t-storm this evening.
We did not reach the 2002 level crest on the Cumberland River, thankfully, but still plenty of damage reports.
My monthly total, obviously just in the past 11days, is 6.84. With the current pattern, IT IS NOT FAR FETCHED TO PREDICT SOME DOUBLE DIGIT MONTHLY TOTALS, ESPECIALLY IN THE SE KY REGION!!!
I just read where a man had to be rescued after driving his car into flood waters in Perry county. When will people stop being so stupid as to ignore dangerous conditions?
I would throw a stone, but did it myself once and lucked out. Important to use the When In Doubt, Don’t rule.
I think if we all were honest we do stupid stuff all the time.
Of course subject to some variability and change in placement, the WPC actually shows the highest rainfall yet again for SE KY. This is from this evening going 7 days out:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.php#
Go under QPF, days 1 through 7 as I could not get the direct link to post.
Hopefully nobody took the GFS model snow bait for next Friday. Now looks like another (surprise, surprise) big rain maker.
Thanks Chris. Prestressed for all the people in southeastern Ky who are or will be dealing with flooding. We’ve had over 3 here but it has letvup and we actually had sunshine for about 3-4 minutes! Ah, but didn’t last long. Stay dry weather friends, and safe.