Sunday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. The heavy rain train is slowly working out of Kentucky, with a taste of winter coming in behind it. That may lead to some pockets of travel issues by Monday morning. As we look ahead to the week ahead, I see another flood threat taking shape.

Let’s begin with the setup out there today. A 30-35 degree temperature drop is occurring behind the cold front working east. As that cold air moves in, things begin to slow down in terms of precipitation. That’s great news, as parts of southeastern Kentucky have picked up more than 5″ of rain. Extensive flooding is underway in many areas.

Here are the radars to track the remaining rains…

Cold air continues to press in through tonight, with a band of wintry weather developing across the central and east…

That may put down some VERY light accumulations in a few spots, leading to some slick spots developing. Overall, this really isn’t a big deal.

Leftover showers will be noted for Tuesday, but another increase in rain begins Wednesday and carries us through Friday. Heavy rain and thunderstorms will be likely, with a switch to snow possible by late Friday. This will be followed up by a few more active systems. Here’s how the Canadian sees it…

The GFS…

A lot of moisture may fall during this time. The GFS has some 5″-6″ rains showing up over the next week and change…

I’m not liking the looks of this pattern over the next few weeks. We have mentioned it before on here, but Kentucky is long overdue for a decent river flooding event.

Enjoy the rest of your day and take care.


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16 Responses to Sunday Afternoon Update

  1. Snowbi One Kenobi says:

    It looks like the northern and southern jet are hooking up, but it’s happening in Central Indiana. Central and Northern Indiana have had plenty of snow this past week and it looks like more to come for them. Another winter season of close calls and cold rain in the Kentuckiana area.

    • Admiral Ackbar says:

      Close calls for snow, but Kentucky has been a dead ringer for rain, rain, and even more rain.

      • Terry says:

        The subjet is too far north during the next several days for a real winter threat for KY on south and east. If we could muster any snow, it will be wet snow if the jet can buckle south late next weekend. Flooding on the other hand…..all I can say is “not a good feeling from the data…more like a scary look”!

        • Schroeder says:

          Terry, hope this is not going to be a problem for you. Everyone here is concerned for you and your family. Hope you have an escape plan if that water gets to close to your property. Our prayers are with you.

          • Terry says:

            Thanks. My family and I are safe but, as you know for those who live in a flood plane, many are not. Time will tell as weather patterns don’t always play out quite as predicted several days in advance…still a nasty threat though!

  2. Admiral Ackbar says:

    With this rain system alone, 2018 has become one of the wettest winters in recent history. Absolutely incredible.

  3. Ed says:

    Winter Weather Advisory-Adams Brown Scioto Ohio

  4. c-BIV says:

    That’s pretty much what we heard 3 weeks ago about not liking the looks of how much colder and snowier it was going to be in February than originally thought….oops, that shipped sailed out with above normal temps and lots of rain.

    • Schroeder says:

      No, actually the first eight days of February 2018 were below normal in temperature.

      • Schroeder says:

        An ENSO- neutral phase which is forecast to occur later this month into March and April could result in a very active pattern, which would include a second winter. Don’t give up on the heavy snow events just yet.

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