Good Thursday to one and all. It’s a VERY mild and windy day taking shape, but the wet weather continues to be the main focus as we roll forward. Waves of rain and thunderstorms are lined up and will roll our way through next week, potentially leading to flooding issues. There’s also a touch of winter thrown in there for the weekend.
Temps out there today will be in the 65-70 degree range for many, with some low 70s in the south. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will also be noted, with the main focus across the north. Track away…
A cold front then drops in here tonight and Friday, bringing widespread rain and a big temperature crash. Local high water issues may develop during this time…
We will need to watch northern and northeastern Kentucky for the local high water threat on Friday. There’s also the chance for a bit of a rain/snow mix showing up during the afternoon.
That same front then slows down, letting another wave of low pressure to develop and move our way on Saturday. That should bring a renewed threat for heavy rain our way, especially in the south and east…
Those are areas still cleaning up from recent flooding, so we will need to really be on guard for the high water possibilities.
There could also be a swath of slushy snow showing up across areas of the north and northeast, but I’m not overly impressed with that.
Sunday looks much better with only a small chance for a shower. Highs will be near 50.
The setup early next week will then feature waves of showers and thunderstorms rolling across our region from southwest to northeast. This is a very worrisome setup and could lead to significant flooding issues in our part of the world…
Rainfall numbers through next week continue to be very aggressive on the models…
GFS
Canadian
I will update things later today, so check back. Have a good Thursday and take care.
Thanks Chris, I’am puzzled at the way the weather pattern has changed. Meteorologist are saying the Bermuda high pressure is the main reason for the warm and rainy spring like weather. If this pattern persist into March, which is very possible, we may have a second bout of winter in April. Not good.
Schroeder my buddy said that this weather pattern we’re in could last all the way through mid spring. The Bermuda High is strong and he said it’s not showing any signs of breaking down in the next 8 weeks or so.
My buddy also said that the Arctic air will be retreating well North even allowing Canada to get in on the warmer weather pattern.
If you have the time ask him what he thinks about the ssw event..Looks like a stout –NAO may develop towards the end of Feb on some models with some nice blocking in the Davis strait..Just wondering if the ssw event is the reason some models are hinting at this If true somewhere along the east coast could still see a big snow or lots of rain..lol.. -NAO can produce some big lows if it even happens..Also thank him for his service..
I will try to talk to him later today, he teaches at the Air Force Academy.
Well I guess that is it for this winter. Not at all looking forward to the Tornado’s and severe thunderstorms that our forecast for the coming spring, which apparently has already begun. Thanks for the weather information and your Air Force buddy’s service to our country.
correction: are
I say good riddance to this winter. It’s about time we had an early Spring. Not a fan of the flooding though. Turn off the water works for a while. It looks like that’s not going to happen either.
Bermuda High is also the steering wheel for Hurricanes.
Just now took a quick look at the Ventusky winds aloft. A large high pressure ridge has push into the Gulf of Mexico and it’s north and western edge is north of Kentucky. This has temporary put an end to the widespread rain, good news for flooded areas for now. In the Arctic, the polar vortex is just north of Hudson Bay and appears to be stationary. The westerlies are high around the southern edge of the polar low, which would suggest the Arctic Oscillation is strong and in the positive phase. Also the North Atlantic Oscillation is in the positive phase for now. No sign that La nina is going to become ENSO- neutral for now or any time soon. On the twelve hour water vapor loop, it looks like a summer time pattern is setting up over the entire country. Maybe we are going to skip spring and go right into summer. Would not surprise me.
Thanks Chris. This weather pattern has me wondering 2 things; are our snow chances wrapped up for winter and what do we have in store for this summer? Any thoughts?
Thanks for all you do Chris…