Good Sunday, folks. Was it strange only getting one update from me yesterday? Don’t answer that, it’s rhetorical. 🙂  We are wrapping up a very nice weekend across the Commonwealth of Kentucky, but the focus is on some ugly for the week ahead. Old Man Winter isn’t through with us just yet.

Let’s begin with the positive before going all negative. Highs today reach the low and mid 50s in the east, to low 60s across the west. Skies stay mostly sunny, but clouds will filter into western parts of the state by evening.

Those clouds are ahead of a massive change moving in for the week ahead. Showers and some thunder arrive from west to east on Monday, as a cold front moves in. That front is being pushed by a storm system cut off from the main flow. Instead of our low lifting northward into Canada, it’s forced southeast into our part of the world.

It’s also accompanied by some pretty darn cold air, leading to the potential for some snow by mid week as a deep trough digs in…

With a strongly negative NAO in place, but forecast to majorly relax by next weekend…

I start looking for a big storm threat somewhere in the eastern half of the country. One thing I’ve noticed through the years is how big winter storms like to come at the end of strongly negative blocking period.

Low and behold, we find the models going crazy next weekend into early the following week. The GFS…

The Canadian is off the charts…

I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.