Good Monday, everyone. We have two storm systems ready to impact our weather over the next couple of days. They will bring everything from thunderstorms, to snow to our part of the world. That last sentence goes right to the heart of the Winter verses Spring fight we continue to see. It’s epic! 🙂

The first low out there today is crossing far southern Kentucky, bringing heavy rain and some storms across the state. Areas along and south of the low are on guard for the possibility of severe thunderstorms. That includes southern parts of the bluegrass state…

If you live in these areas, damaging winds, large hail and a few tornadoes are possible. Areas of Tennessee are really under the gun today.

For the rest of Kentucky, heavy rainfall of 1″-2″ is possible, along with very gusty winds.

The second low then develops on Tuesday and rolls into far southeastern Kentucky. This will bring rain and snow that switches to all snow for much of the sate. Here’s the NAM…

That run shows the potential for several inches of snow to fall…

The Hi Res NAM only goes through Tuesday night, but is also showing a nice “comma head” of snow…

Here’s the snow map just through Tuesday night…

The European Model is very close to the above runs of the NAM. Here’s the snow map through Wednesday…

The GFS is a little farther east, but that’s also a bias of the model…

As we inch closer to this system, the models are becoming much more expansive with the snow potential. There is a real chance they are underdoing the intensity of the wind driven snows. Once again, this setup isn’t too dissimilar to what we had one week ago this morning.

There’s a chance I upgrade to a Winter Storm THREAT later today.

In the meantime, here are your tracking tools to start the day…

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

I will have updates later today, so check back. Have a great Monday and take care.