Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, everyone. Snow continues to SLOWLY wind down across central and eastern Kentucky, with a frigid night settling in behind it. As this happens, we will quickly turn our attention toward another possible winter storm impacting the region on Saturday.

Before we get to that, let’s track what’s left of the current winter storm…

Lows tonight drop deep into the upper teens and low 20s in many areas, with gusty winds making it feel a lot colder. The rest of Thursday looks good with plenty of sunshine and temps hitting the 40s across the central and east. 60 is possible in the far west.

Clouds increase on Friday, ahead of a potent system diving in from the northwest. This has a MEGA temp gradient to work with and that means it will produce a ton of precipitation. We’re likely to see a swath of VERY heavy snow setting up near or on top of northern and northeastern Kentucky.

The European Model has a crusher…

It is backed up by the average of the 51 member European Ensembles…

The GFS is basically in lock step with the European Model…

The GFS Ensembles show the same track for heavy snow…

A few thoughts:

  • First and foremost, those are computer forecast models and not a forecast from me.
  • Any deviation in the track of the low may push that heavy snow band farther north or farther south.
  • Areas of northern and northeastern Kentucky need to pay very close attention to upcoming forecasts. That much snow could cause big issues.
  • Temps on Saturday may reach the low 70s in far west, and stay in the 30s for much of central and eastern Kentucky.
  • Outside the areas getting in on the POTENTIAL for snow, heavy rains will be noted. A general 1″-2″ of rain is possible.
  • Thunderstorms are possible in the west.

Just… Wow.

An upgrade to a Winter Storm Threat is very likely tonight.

Enjoy the evening and take care.


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3 Responses to Wednesday Evening Update

  1. Terry says:

    Snow is coming down at a good clip again in Harlan and now cold enough to restick on the patchy bare ground!

    The weather is simply so ‘unspring like’ that I almost wish the front could magically shift a 150 miles or so south and dump on SE KY but we will likely be in the usual flood side of the system here in Harlan.

  2. Coffeelady says:

    Thanks Chris. You said sunshine tomorrow didn’t you? Think I’ll take the day off and enjoy it! I am kind of like Terry and almost wish it would drift south far enough to bury us but I know we too will see heavy rain. ~sigh~ elusive spring, I wish you’d come and stay awhile…. had a good evening all.

  3. Jimmie says:

    Here’s to hoping that heavy snow stays north of the Ohio river. 12″ of heavy wet snow can do as much damage to trees and power lines as a decent ice storm, especially since trees are starting to flower/leaf-out.

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