Good Thursday, folks. March has been nothing short of incredible, with significant amounts of snow and very cold temps, and it’s not done just yet. Another system threatens to bring a swath of very heavy snow to parts of the state on Saturday, and that’s why we are back into another Winter Storm THREAT.
The weather out there today is nice, with highs reaching the 40s in the central and east, with near 60 degrees in the west. Skies are sunny… Enjoy.
Friday will find temps in the 40s across the far north and northeast, with temps in the 60 degree range in the west. Temps may hit 50 or so in between those two.
That same temperature gradient becomes even stronger on Saturday. We may see a 40 degree temp swing across the state…
Low pressure rides that boundary and feeds on the mega gradient, producing a lot of precipitation. A swath of VERY heavy snow will be noted on the northern edge of the precip shield, and that may very well impact the northern half of the state. Here’s the Winter Storm THREAT area…
Those lines may go north or come a little farther south as we get closer, and can get a better handle on the EXACT track of the low. For now, I feel pretty good with the outlined areas.
The models are very similar to my map. The latest European Model has come south some…
The NAM usually overdoes the warm air advection early on, as it loses it, it corrects south a bit.
In addition to the snow threat in the north and northeast, we may also deal with some local high water issues developing across the rest of the state. A general 1″-2″ of rain is possible, with locally higher amounts…
The setup for next week turns milder, but we are likely to see additional rounds of showers and storms moving in. I wouldn’t be surprised if we get into another high water threat or two.
Looking even farther down the road, another much colder than normal period looks possible to close out March and begin April. Sigh.
I will have updates later today, so check back. Have a good one and take care.