Good Friday, everyone. We continue to track another winter storm toward the bluegrass state, as we upgrade to a Winter Storm ALERT. This means confidence has increased for a 4″ or greater snowfall for parts of the region. This is our third winter storm in less than 2 weeks.
Here’s the infamous First Call For Snowfall…
Make sure to read the headlines on the map. Those give you a littler better insight about the challenges and caveats of the forecast. I will be updating the call throughout the day.
The latest model trends are similar in showing where the heaviest snows may setup, but may be just a smidge farther south than what I am showing…
European
GFS
Canadian
The NAM is coming back south, but is likely overdone with precipitation amounts…
Here are the current Watches, Warnings and Advisories…
Outside of the narrow corridor of snow, heavy rainfall is likely. A general 1″-2″ of rain will be noted and that could cause some local high water issues. Rumbles of thunder may also be noted as the system moves through here.
The temperature gradient is going to be amazing, with 70 or better showing up in the far southwestern part of the state, with low and middle 30s in the north and east. Ouch.
The pattern into next week will feature milder temps, with the potential for showers and thunderstorms to increase. That may be followed by another cold setup developing for early April. At this point, if it snows during the first part of April, do not be surprised.
#teamspring continues to take a good old fashion whoopin!
I will update things later today, so check back. Have a good one and take care.
Jimbo and others in that area may have enough snow to lose power and not even receive an advisory let alone a winter storm watch, sad!
It is shifting out of my area, as I expected it would. He has me in the 1-4 zone and I can tell you this. I will be way closer to 1 than 4. I think the Charleston NWS is still having flashbacks to their big miss on Wednesday.
Fifty years ago, much of western KY, western TN, northern Mississippi, etc, were digging out from a big late March snowstorm that started on March 21 1968 and finally waned early on the 23rd. The Land Between the Lakes areas of both Kentucky and Tennessee had around a foot. Memphis received its second biggest single snowstorm on record with 16.5 inches.
Interesting that a more southern city like Memphis has had its top two snows ever not in January nor February but in March. The #1 snow for Memphis is about 17 inches way back on March 17 1892 (the same storm gave Nashville about 21 inches which is the biggest snow for the Music City).
I remember that storm very well in 1968. We were buried in heavy wet snow, but the basketball sectional was still on and I remember our team won. With the weather today, it looks good for rain developing in my area of the state. I just hope it doesn’t rain all the time through next week. I can’t see how it can snow that much with a clipper system moving through eastern Kentucky, unless it slows down with the cold air damming. This clipper system is expected to form the fifth Nor’Easter as it combines with a low pressure system off the mid- Atlantic. Just to our southwest, Summer type weather is prevalent with temperatures in the eighties and nineties along with a severe drought. This area is currently under a stalled upper level high pressure system. We may go from Winter to Summer. Would not surprise me living here in the Ohio River Valley.
Clipper System??.Cold air damming??..LOL..Really Schroeder..Do tell.
Yes, an Alberta Clipper and cold air dams up in the Appalachians, where most of the snow will fall.
Schroeder, there is not a 5th Nor’easter that is going to form from this system this weekend.
Prelude: Yesterday, a fifth Nor’Easter was forecast to form and bring heavy snow from the mid- Atlantic to Maine, and it was the upper level low pressure ( Alberta Clipper ) combining with a surface low along the southeast shore of the Atlantic. It’s the ole saying ” what comes around goes around.”
LOL..Low pressure is now a alberta clipper..
Yes, that’s where the negative charged storms originate the Providence, Alberta Canada.
Correction : Phttp://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-glossary/what-is-an-alberta-clipper/5559334rovince
More than a smidge south, please!
This is the first time I can ever remember the weather channel giving the ashland area more snow than what CB is predicting. TWC says 3-5 and CB says 1-4. Be interesting to see who is right!!
Nobody it will be sunny and hot in Ashland!
One thing I have learned about living in the tri-state. The closer a snowstorm gets (time wise), the further away it moves (mile wise).
I’ll AMEN that
Jimbo, You reside in Huntington, West Virginia right ? The average snowfall for Huntington is fourteen inches. Maybe you will accumulate that from this storm, but I would not count on a clipper bringing that much snow in. Maybe, next Winter your area will get all the snow and the ones that received good snows this Winter won’t get any next Winter. That’s the way it usually works out.
I am fine with those lines shifting even more south.
Whatever happens is fine by me. Warm weather will be here before we know it.
Maybe HOT weather
I think we are safe from the snow threat beyond some slush.