Good Thursday, folks. Our Winter Storm THREAT continues for Friday night and Saturday. A developing storm system will take aim at the bluegrass state and lower Ohio Valley, bringing the potential for several inches of slushy spring snows. Say that 3 times. ๐Ÿ™‚

Let’s think of today as the calm before the winter storm. Things are frigid this morning, with lows into the 20s. The afternoon looks pretty good with highs in the 50s for many. Areas of the west and south may reach 60 or a little better.

Let’s get into Friday and let the fun begin. Here’s a breakdown:

  • Highs can reach the 60 degree mark by early Friday afternoon as winds begin to crank.
  • Clouds will quickly roll in during the afternoon, with rain developing as we get deeper into the day and evening.
  • Temps then drop rapidly from northwest to southeast, as our storm system skirts by to our south and east.
  • A band of VERY heavy snow will set up across the state, potentially putting down several inches of wet snow.
  • It will likely snow hard enough to cover roads for a while later Friday night into Saturday morning.
  • Where does this band of heavy snow set up? Here’s my current thinking (and this will likely change today)…

  • That can be adjusted north or south, depending on how the track of the low goes.
  • South of the band of heavy snow, rain will be heavy and could cause some local flooding issues.
  • Temps Friday night drop all the way into the 20s, with highs on Saturday staying in the 30s for several areas. Winds will make it feel colder.
  • Saturday night is an interesting night. If we can indeed get snow and keep it on the ground, temps can tank. Lows may reach the teens for one of the very few times on record in April.

A quick check of the computer models show the NAM going crazy with this storm…

The NAM tends to get a little fired up, so those numbers are likely too high.

The GFS is a little more gentle, but still historic for the month…

The European Model is a little farther south with the new run…

The rest of the weekend looks amazingly cold for this time of the year, with the chance for some areas to not get out of the 30s for highs. Another system then moves in late Sunday into early next week and may bring another round of snow and rain.

If you’re looking for some good news… I’m FINALLY starting to see the end of this pattern. Things begin to really change late next week into the following week. Go CRAZY!!!! ๐Ÿ™‚

I will have updates later today, including the often imitated, but never duplicated “First Call For Snowfall”. Make it a good one and take care.