Heavy Rain Threat Increases

Good afternoon, everyone. As expected, a dying band of showers and thunderstorms is kicking off the afternoon, but the focus is on additional development later today and tonight. Heavy rain is becoming increasingly likely, especially across central Kentucky. This may lead to some local flooding issues tonight and early Sunday.

The overall severe storms threat is lower, but the high water threat is now higher. Look at the rain numbers coming from the models…

NAM

GFS

Most of that will fall within a 12 hour window. Given our soggy spring, let’s keep a close eye on water levels overnight and early Sunday.

The heavy rains will taper off quickly from west to east later Sunday, with much colder air sweeping in from the northwest. That northwesterly flow will touch off some snow showers and flurries from late Sunday night into Monday. There is even the chance for a rooftop coating…

At some point you just have to laugh to keep from crying. 🙂

Here are your tracking tools to get you through the rest of the day…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a great rest of your Saturday and take care.


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8 Responses to Heavy Rain Threat Increases

  1. MarkLex says:

    When there were red flag warnings yesterday, I was wondering WHY? It’s not even dry. We are way above normal precip.

    • Claydar says:

      Low humidity + wind. Fuel moisture is of little hindrance to the spread of an already burning fire. Red flag is usually for conditions where a fire would grow rapidly out of control.

      Low fuel moisture + red flag would result in a “fire weather” watch or warning.

    • SHAAK says:

      70-80 acres burned in Nelson County the other day due to trouble from the wind.

  2. Matt says:

    There are forest fires everywhere today in southeast ky.. It’s irrelevant how much rain has fallen in recent weeks. All it takes is one sunny, windy day and the leaves are crunchy dry and will burn like gasoline..

  3. Virgil says:

    I guess my notion that Severe weather in Southern Alabama would zap the energy required for Severe weather in Kentucky came up pretty well.

  4. Mary Salyer says:

    Congratulations Chris! You are the best meteorologist ever!

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