Good Monday, everyone. Rounds of heavy rain and rolling across the bluegrass state today, as a slow-moving low spins just to our south. This kicks off a very unsettled week, but I’m tracking a true spring setup as we open the month of May. Can I get a woot? 🙂

Let us start with the precious present and then hit the fast forward button.

Heavy rain is out there today, especially across the western half of the state. Rain totals since Sunday are greater than 2″-3″ for some, leading to a local high water threat. Watch for a comma head of heavy rain to slowly work across the rest of the state through Tuesday. That could also put down enough rain to cause some issues. Track away…

Scattered showers may be joined by a few thunderstorms Tuesday into Wednesday. This action is from a second system working across the region.

From there, a big upper level system dives in from the northwest for Friday and Saturday…

That brings chilly showers our way, to go along with gusty winds. The high ground of the Appalachian Mountains may see some snowflakes out of this setup.

The chilly air will quickly be replaced by a major warm up, and that may start by Sunday. This leads us into Kentucky Derby week, with a big ridge of high pressure controlling our weather…

Temps can make a run at the 80s, but that trough in the west is going to try and kick east later in the week. That may mean a stormy pattern unfolds by Kentucky Derby weekend.

I will have another update later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.